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Villa Julie Mustangs (6-10)

Conference: Capital

Region: So. Atlantic

State: MD

Coach: Kathy Railey

#18 UMW Tops Villa Julie, 21-8, in CAC Quarterfinals

FREDERICKSBURG, VA - Senior Kaitlyn Barker scored six goals, and junior Caitlin Erickson scored five goals and added one assist to the lead the University of Mary Washington women's lacrosse team to a 21-8 win over Villa Julie College on Sunday in the Capital Athletic Conference quarterfinals at the Battleground. Senior midfielder Meaghan O'Leary scored four times and added five assists for the Eagles, who improve to 13-5 on the season. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/21	vs. St. Mary's (MD) # (8-8)	Capital	78.5		L	10-	17
2/24	MARY WASHINGTON (16-7)	Capital	82.0		L	3-	17
3/01	at Goucher (8-8)	Capital	77.8		L	13-	14
3/04	at Hood (4-9)	Atlantic Wome	59.8		W	25-	1
3/09	at Salisbury (21-2)	Capital	87.7	2	L	4-	23
3/13	at Lynchburg (8-10)	Old Dominion	72.8		W	15-	12
3/15	at Roanoke (15-4)	Old Dominion	77.5		L	6-	10
3/21	NOTRE DAME (MD) (15-2)	Atlantic Wome	72.5		W	16-	12
3/24	STEVENS (12-8)	Skyline	72.5		W	17-	7
3/27	YORK (7-10)	Capital	73.4		L	13-	14
3/31	BUFFALO STATE (10-5)	SUNYAC	78.3		L	13-	15
4/03	MCDANIEL (14-5)	Centennial	80.4		L	9-	15
4/05	at Catholic (DC) (11-5)	Capital	78.5		L	11-	22
4/17	at Wesley (6-9)	Penn. (PAC)	64.3		W	18-	7
4/20	MARYMOUNT (2-14)	Capital	64.5		W	20-	5
4/22	at Mary Washington (16-7)	Capital	82.0		L	8-	21
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			75.4

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/21	N	St. Mary's (MD)	10-	17	-7	-4	–	0.00	-3.28
2/24	H	Mary Washington	3-	17	-14	-6	–––	-1.91	-8.49
3/01	A	Goucher	13-	14	-1	-5	++	1.91	4.14
3/04	A	Hood	25-	1	24	13	+++	1.91	11.31
3/09	A	Salisbury	4-	23	-19	-16	–	1.91	-3.38
3/13	A	Lynchburg	15-	12	3	0	+	1.91	3.03
3/15	A	Roanoke	6-	10	-4	-5		1.91	0.81
3/21	H	Notre Dame (MD)	16-	12	4	5		-1.91	-1.08
3/24	H	Stevens	17-	7	10	4	++	-1.91	5.95
3/27	H	York	13-	14	-1	3	––	-1.91	-4.14
3/31	H	Buffalo State	13-	15	-2	-2		-1.91	-0.32
4/03	H	McDaniel	9-	15	-6	-4	–	-1.91	-2.09
4/05	A	Catholic (DC)	11-	22	-11	-6	––	1.91	-4.51
4/17	A	Wesley	18-	7	11	8	+	1.91	2.97
4/20	H	Marymount	20-	5	15	12	+	-1.91	2.76
4/22	A	Mary Washington	8-	21	-13	-9	–	1.91	-3.67
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/24	H	Mary Washington	3-	17	4.00
3/04	A	Hood	25-	1	11.31
3/09	A	Salisbury	4-	23	3.38
3/24	H	Stevens	17-	7	0.00
4/05	A	Catholic (DC)	11-	22	1.00
4/17	A	Wesley	18-	7	-1.00
4/20	H	Marymount	20-	5	-2.76
4/22	A	Mary Washington	8-	21	3.00
10-goal correction: -0.23

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	183.00	Local TSI Rank	56
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	74.30	Local Power Rank	64
Local SOS Rating	75.42	Local SOS Rank	45
Local RPI Rating	0.52	Local RPI Rank	68
Local Trend Rating	3.00	Local Trend Rank	108
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	3.20	Local Loss Rank	93
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10	Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3


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