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Villa Julie Mustangs (6-10)

Conference: CapitalRegion: So. AtlanticState: MDCoach: Kathy Railey

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

#18 UMW Tops Villa Julie, 21-8, in CAC Quarterfinals

FREDERICKSBURG, VA - Senior Kaitlyn Barker scored six goals, and junior Caitlin Erickson scored five goals and added one assist to the lead the University of Mary Washington women's lacrosse team to a 21-8 win over Villa Julie College on Sunday in the Capital Athletic Conference quarterfinals at the Battleground. Senior midfielder Meaghan O'Leary scored four times and added five assists for the Eagles, who improve to 13-5 on the season.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
2/21vs. St. Mary's (MD) # (8-8)Capital78.5L10-17 0.00  
2/24MARY WASHINGTON (16-7)Capital82.0L3-17 0.00  
3/01at Goucher (8-8)Capital77.8L13-14 0.00  
3/04at Hood (4-9)Atlantic Wome59.8W25- 1 0.00  
3/09at Salisbury (21-2)Capital87.72L4-23 0.00  
3/13at Lynchburg (8-10)Old Dominion72.8W15-12 0.00  
3/15at Roanoke (15-4)Old Dominion77.5L6-10 0.00  
3/21NOTRE DAME (MD) (15-2)Atlantic Wome72.5W16-12 0.00  
3/24STEVENS (12-8)Skyline72.5W17- 7 0.00  
3/27YORK (7-10)Capital73.4L13-14 0.00  
3/31BUFFALO STATE (10-5)SUNYAC78.3L13-15 0.00  
4/03MCDANIEL (14-5)Centennial80.4L9-15 0.00  
4/05at Catholic (DC) (11-5)Capital78.5L11-22 0.00  
4/17at Wesley (6-9)Penn. (PAC)64.3W18- 7 0.00  
4/20MARYMOUNT (2-14)Capital64.5W20- 5 0.00  
4/22at Mary Washington (16-7)Capital82.0L8-21 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 75.4     0.00  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/21NSt. Mary's (MD)10-17-7   -4       0.00       -3.28
2/24HMary Washington3-17-14   -6       –––-1.91       -8.49
3/01AGoucher13-14-1   -5       ++1.91       4.14
3/04AHood25-124   13       +++1.91       11.31
3/09ASalisbury4-23-19   -16       1.91       -3.38
3/13ALynchburg15-123   0       +1.91       3.03
3/15ARoanoke6-10-4   -5       1.91       0.81
3/21HNotre Dame (MD)16-124   5       -1.91       -1.08
3/24HStevens17-710   4       ++-1.91       5.95
3/27HYork13-14-1   3       ––-1.91       -4.14
3/31HBuffalo State13-15-2   -2       -1.91       -0.32
4/03HMcDaniel9-15-6   -4       -1.91       -2.09
4/05ACatholic (DC)11-22-11   -6       ––1.91       -4.51
4/17AWesley18-711   8       +1.91       2.97
4/20HMarymount20-515   12       +-1.91       2.76
4/22AMary Washington8-21-13   -9       1.91       -3.67
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/24HMary Washington3-174.00
3/04AHood25-111.31
3/09ASalisbury4-233.38
3/24HStevens17-70.00
4/05ACatholic (DC)11-221.00
4/17AWesley18-7-1.00
4/20HMarymount20-5-2.76
4/22AMary Washington8-213.00
10-goal correction: -0.23

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating183.00   Local TSI Rank 56
Local Poll Vote n/a   Local Poll Rank n/a
Local Power Rating 74.30   Local Power Rank 64
Local SOS Rating 75.42   Local SOS Rank 45
Local RPI Rating 0.52   Local RPI Rank 68
Local Trend Rating 3.00   Local Trend Rank 108
Local Quality Win Rating n/a   Local Quality Win Rank n/a
Local Loss Rating 3.20   Local Loss Rank 93
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 6-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -19.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -19.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -19.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3



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