| Conference: Capital | Region: So. Atlantic | State: MD | Coach: Kathy Railey |
#18 UMW Tops Villa Julie, 21-8, in CAC Quarterfinals
FREDERICKSBURG, VA - Senior Kaitlyn Barker scored six goals, and junior Caitlin Erickson scored five goals and added one assist to the lead the University of Mary Washington women's lacrosse team to a 21-8 win over Villa Julie College on Sunday in the Capital Athletic Conference quarterfinals at the Battleground. Senior midfielder Meaghan O'Leary scored four times and added five assists for the Eagles, who improve to 13-5 on the season. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/21 | N | St. Mary's (MD) | 10- | 17 | -7 | -4 | | 0.00 | -3.28 | |
2/24 | H | Mary Washington | 3- | 17 | -14 | -6 | | -1.91 | -8.49 | |
3/01 | A | Goucher | 13- | 14 | -1 | -5 | ++ | 1.91 | 4.14 | |
3/04 | A | Hood | 25- | 1 | 24 | 13 | +++ | 1.91 | 11.31 | |
3/09 | A | Salisbury | 4- | 23 | -19 | -16 | | 1.91 | -3.38 | |
3/13 | A | Lynchburg | 15- | 12 | 3 | 0 | + | 1.91 | 3.03 | |
3/15 | A | Roanoke | 6- | 10 | -4 | -5 | | 1.91 | 0.81 | |
3/21 | H | Notre Dame (MD) | 16- | 12 | 4 | 5 | | -1.91 | -1.08 | |
3/24 | H | Stevens | 17- | 7 | 10 | 4 | ++ | -1.91 | 5.95 | |
3/27 | H | York | 13- | 14 | -1 | 3 | | -1.91 | -4.14 | |
3/31 | H | Buffalo State | 13- | 15 | -2 | -2 | | -1.91 | -0.32 | |
4/03 | H | McDaniel | 9- | 15 | -6 | -4 | | -1.91 | -2.09 | |
4/05 | A | Catholic (DC) | 11- | 22 | -11 | -6 | | 1.91 | -4.51 | |
4/17 | A | Wesley | 18- | 7 | 11 | 8 | + | 1.91 | 2.97 | |
4/20 | H | Marymount | 20- | 5 | 15 | 12 | + | -1.91 | 2.76 | |
4/22 | A | Mary Washington | 8- | 21 | -13 | -9 | | 1.91 | -3.67 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
2/24 | H | Mary Washington | 3- | 17 | 4.00 |
3/04 | A | Hood | 25- | 1 | 11.31 |
3/09 | A | Salisbury | 4- | 23 | 3.38 |
3/24 | H | Stevens | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
4/05 | A | Catholic (DC) | 11- | 22 | 1.00 |
4/17 | A | Wesley | 18- | 7 | -1.00 |
4/20 | H | Marymount | 20- | 5 | -2.76 |
4/22 | A | Mary Washington | 8- | 21 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.23 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 183.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 56 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 74.30 | | Local Power Rank | 64 |
| Local SOS Rating | 75.42 | | Local SOS Rank | 45 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.52 | | Local RPI Rank | 68 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 108 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 3.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 93 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -19.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -19.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -19.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.3 |
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