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Wesleyan (CT) Cardinals (8-6)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: New England

State: CT

Coach: Holly Wheeler

#10 Wesleyan Falls to #9 Amherst in NESCAC Quarters

MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Extending its dominance of Wesleyan to 16 games dating back to 1994, and 24-10 all-time, Amherst broke a 2-2 tie on a strong individual move by sophomore Mary Noonan to slip past two Wesleyan defenders and go on for the go-ahead goal at 17:59 of the first half, igniting a 6-0 run which led to a 13-5 decision in a NESCAC tournament first-round contest. Wesleyan and Amherst had posted identical 5-4 records in conference play and despite a 10-5 victory over Wesleyan on opening day back in March, Amherst was relegated to the sixth-seed while Wesleyan eared the number-three seed as Wesleyan controlled the tie-breaker in a four-way deadlock with Bowdoin and Colby also involved. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/11	vs. Amherst # (9-7)	NESCAC	83.3	10	L	5-	10		0.00
3/13	EASTERN CONNECTICUT (13-6)	Little East	77.1		W	15-	6		0.00
3/15	at Babson (15-3)	NEWMAC	81.8	7	L	12-	13	ot	0.00
3/22	at Endicott (13-6)	Comm. Coast	75.7		W	16-	9		0.00
3/24	at Tufts (7-7)	NESCAC	82.8	19	W	12-	9		-0.10
3/31	BOWDOIN (9-6)	NESCAC	84.4	14	W	10-	8	ot	-0.35
4/04	CONNECTICUT COLLEGE (4-10)	NESCAC	77.5		W	14-	7		0.00
4/07	at Williams (6-8)	NESCAC	82.1	16	L	6-	11		0.00
4/12	WHEATON (4-12)	NEWMAC	72.3		W	11-	6		0.00
4/14	COLBY (12-5)	NESCAC	84.6	8	W	12-	7		-0.65
4/18	at Trinity (CT) (12-5)	NESCAC	84.1	11	L	8-	10		0.00
4/21	MIDDLEBURY (16-2)	NESCAC	88.4	3	L	9-	10		0.00
4/28	at Bates (8-7)	NESCAC	81.1		W	10-	9	ot	0.00
4/29	AMHERST (9-7)	NESCAC	83.3	10	L	5-	13		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			81.7						-1.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	N	Amherst	5-	10	-5	-1	–	0.00	-3.66
3/13	H	Eastern Connecticut	15-	6	9	7	+	-1.91	2.00
3/15	A	Babson	12-	13	-1	-1		1.91	0.30
3/22	A	Endicott	16-	9	7	5		1.91	1.64
3/24	A	Tufts	12-	9	3	-3	++	1.91	5.76
3/31	H	Bowdoin	10-	8	2	0	+	-1.91	2.06
4/04	H	Connecticut College	14-	7	7	7		-1.91	0.03
4/07	A	Williams	6-	11	-5	-2	–	1.91	-3.43
4/12	H	Wheaton	11-	6	5	13	–––	-1.91	-8.08
4/14	H	Colby	12-	7	5	0	++	-1.91	5.16
4/18	A	Trinity (CT)	8-	10	-2	-4		1.91	1.91
4/21	H	Middlebury	9-	10	-1	-5	+	-1.91	3.62
4/28	A	Bates	10-	9	1	0		1.91	1.24
4/29	H	Amherst	5-	13	-8	1	–––	-1.91	-8.56
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	46.00	Local TSI Rank	13
Local Poll Vote	106.	Local Poll Rank	13
Local Power Rating	82.41	Local Power Rank	14
Local SOS Rating	81.65	Local SOS Rank	7
Local RPI Rating	0.59	Local RPI Rank	30
Local Trend Rating	3.00	Local Trend Rank	111
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.10	Local Quality Win Rank	13
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	30
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-6	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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