| Conference: NESCAC | Region: New England | State: MA | Coach: Chris Mason |
#18 Williams Comes Back, Stuns #8 Trinity in NESCAC
Hartford, Conn. – Junior Antonia Clark (New York, N.Y.) scored the game-winning goal on an assist by freshman Whitney Thayer (Lancaster, Pa.) with 34 seconds left in the second half of overtime to lead the visiting Williams College Ephs to a 14-13 win over the Trinity College Bantams in the opening round of the New England Small College Athletic Conference (NESCAC) Women's Lacrosse Championship Tournament this afternoon at Sheppard Field. Trinity, ranked No. 2 in New England and No. 8 in the nation, falls to 11-4 with its first loss in five games, while the Ephs, ranked No. 18 nationally, improve to 6-7 with their first win in six games. Williams advances to the NESCAC Semifinals and will play at top-seeded Middlebury on Sat., May 5 in that game. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/17 | A | Tufts | 13- | 12 | 1 | -3 | ++ | 1.91 | 4.10 | |
3/26 | N | Colby | 16- | 13 | 3 | -2 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.40 | |
3/29 | A | Union | 10- | 15 | -5 | -6 | | 1.91 | 0.88 | |
3/31 | H | Bates | 14- | 9 | 5 | 3 | | -1.91 | 1.77 | |
4/01 | A | Skidmore | 14- | 11 | 3 | 6 | – | 1.91 | -3.11 | |
4/04 | A | Middlebury | 12- | 15 | -3 | -9 | ++ | 1.91 | 5.76 | |
4/07 | H | Wesleyan (CT) | 11- | 6 | 5 | 2 | + | -1.91 | 3.43 | |
4/14 | A | Amherst | 6- | 13 | -7 | -4 | – | 1.91 | -3.42 | |
4/17 | A | Springfield | 9- | 11 | -2 | 3 | –– | 1.91 | -5.03 | |
4/21 | H | Trinity (CT) | 9- | 12 | -3 | 0 | – | -1.91 | -2.56 | |
4/25 | H | Connecticut College | 10- | 12 | -2 | 7 | ––– | -1.91 | -8.64 | |
4/28 | H | Bowdoin | 12- | 15 | -3 | 0 | – | -1.91 | -2.60 | |
4/29 | A | Trinity (CT) | 14- | 13 | 1 | -4 | ++ | 1.91 | 5.25 | |
5/05 | A | Middlebury | 5- | 15 | -10 | -9 | | 1.91 | -1.24 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
5/05 | A | Middlebury | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.00 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 64.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 20 |
| Local Poll Vote | 65. | | Local Poll Rank | 16 |
| Local Power Rating | 82.08 | | Local Power Rank | 17 |
| Local SOS Rating | 83.20 | | Local SOS Rank | 2 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.56 | | Local RPI Rank | 46 |
| Local Trend Rating | 4.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 148 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.65 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 9 |
| Local Loss Rating | 2.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 56 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -4.0 |
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