| Conference: Capital | Region: So. Atlantic | State: PA | Coach: Allison Fordyce |
Mary Washington Advances to CAC Championship
FREDERICKSBURG, VA - Senior midfielder Meaghan O'Leary scored four goals and classmate Kaitlyn Barker add three goals and one assist to lead the University of Mary Washington women's lacrosse team to a 14-5 win over York College on Tuesday in the Capital Athletic Conference semifinals at the Battleground. The Eagles improve to 14-5 overall, and will visit Salisbury University on Friday at 4:30 pm in the CAC championship. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/03 | A | Salisbury | 3- | 21 | -18 | -17 | | 1.91 | -1.15 | |
3/08 | A | Lycoming | 11- | 17 | -6 | -8 | | 1.91 | 1.81 | |
3/10 | H | Susquehanna | 10- | 15 | -5 | 2 | | -1.91 | -7.24 | |
3/14 | N | Misericordia | 17- | 10 | 7 | 8 | | 0.00 | -0.69 | |
3/21 | H | Marymount | 21- | 10 | 11 | 11 | | -1.91 | -0.01 | |
3/24 | A | Mary Washington | 7- | 13 | -6 | -11 | ++ | 1.91 | 4.56 | |
3/27 | A | Villa Julie | 14- | 13 | 1 | -3 | ++ | 1.91 | 4.14 | |
3/31 | H | St. Mary's (MD) | 9- | 11 | -2 | -3 | | -1.91 | 1.05 | |
4/02 | H | Catholic (DC) | 9- | 13 | -4 | -4 | | -1.91 | -0.09 | |
4/05 | H | Chestnut Hill | 17- | 6 | 11 | 3 | +++ | -1.91 | 7.73 | |
4/12 | H | Goucher | 7- | 15 | -8 | -3 | | -1.91 | -5.43 | |
4/16 | H | Hood | 20- | 4 | 16 | 15 | | -1.91 | 0.73 | |
4/21 | H | Elizabethtown | 10- | 22 | -12 | -5 | | -1.91 | -7.46 | |
4/22 | A | Catholic (DC) | 18- | 17 | 1 | -8 | +++ | 1.91 | 8.72 | |
4/24 | A | Mary Washington | 5- | 14 | -9 | -11 | | 1.91 | 1.56 | |
4/26 | H | Notre Dame (MD) | 13- | 12 | 1 | 4 | | -1.91 | -2.85 | |
5/02 | A | Frostburg State | 12- | 17 | -5 | 0 | | 1.91 | -5.41 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/03 | A | Salisbury | 3- | 21 | 1.15 |
3/21 | H | Marymount | 21- | 10 | 0.01 |
4/05 | H | Chestnut Hill | 17- | 6 | -1.00 |
4/16 | H | Hood | 20- | 4 | -0.73 |
4/21 | H | Elizabethtown | 10- | 22 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.08 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 184.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 57 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 73.38 | | Local Power Rank | 71 |
| Local SOS Rating | 75.43 | | Local SOS Rank | 44 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.53 | | Local RPI Rank | 63 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 115 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 3.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 95 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -18.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -18.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -18.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -4.3 |
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