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Sun May 27 21:08:56 EDT 2007
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for
all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown
under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this
means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the
games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.
Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR
Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference
<1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5
WD1 2.84 690 160 142 120 94 68 106
WD2 3.59 336 57 55 50 54 35 85
WD3 3.25 1258 233 248 192 170 155 262
WJUCO 3.79 60 9 11 10 3 13 14
WDIA 2.79 382 97 78 61 45 34 67
TOTAL 3.09 2668 549 528 424 363 299 507
total games............... = 2668
ave error (goals)......... = 3.09
total upsets.............. = 298
% of games within 1 goal.. = 20.58
% of games within 2 goals. = 40.37
% of games within 3 goals. = 56.26
% of games within 4 goals. = 69.87
% of games within 5 goals. = 81.07
% of games > 5 goals. = 19.00
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