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Sun May 27 21:08:56 EDT 2007


    The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
    Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
    predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for 
    all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
    average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
    ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown  
    under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this   
    means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the   
    games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.


    Regional          Average    No       Measuring (goals) how close the PR
     Team           Goal error Games      predicted actual goal difference 
                                          <1     <2     <3     <4     <5     >5  

    WD1                 2.84     690     160    142    120     94     68    106
    WD2                 3.59     336      57     55     50     54     35     85
    WD3                 3.25    1258     233    248    192    170    155    262
    WJUCO               3.79      60       9     11     10      3     13     14
    WDIA                2.79     382      97     78     61     45     34     67

    TOTAL               3.09    2668     549    528    424    363    299    507

     total games...............  =   2668
     ave error (goals).........  =   3.09
     total upsets..............  =    298
     % of games within 1 goal..  =  20.58
     % of games within 2 goals.  =  40.37
     % of games within 3 goals.  =  56.26
     % of games within 4 goals.  =  69.87
     % of games within 5 goals.  =  81.07
     % of games    >   5 goals.  =  19.00

 


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