The accuracy is listed for each league or region for high school boy's lacrosse.
The average goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted
the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region,
the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times
the power ratings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under
the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this means that 25 out of 84
(total games) or about 30% of the games, the power rating error was within
1 goal.
Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR
Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference
<1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5
CC 3.07 192 62 28 28 23 19 32
AR 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
AZ 2.85 135 30 28 17 25 18 17
CA North CIF 2.93 377 84 74 62 59 37 62
CA North Club 2.80 256 76 43 46 30 20 41
CA Sou CIF 2.83 180 35 52 30 22 19 22
CA San Diego CIF 2.87 345 71 82 66 41 26 59
CO 2.98 337 62 73 62 47 36 57
CT I 2.84 606 133 128 107 84 52 102
DE 3.26 303 57 44 65 45 32 61
FL Central 3.01 240 58 54 27 25 34 42
FL South 2.74 130 28 33 26 12 10 21
FL Club 3.03 273 48 54 58 40 28 45
GA 3.17 277 62 50 38 35 27 65
GA Club 2.97 86 17 16 18 13 9 13
NY Sec 6 Club 3.49 34 7 7 2 5 6 7
ID 2.47 118 28 35 24 9 9 13
IL 3.17 371 74 67 55 57 45 74
IN 3.10 190 35 44 30 26 18 37
KY 3.53 121 20 20 21 20 8 32
ME 2.76 284 65 74 38 36 25 47
MD-Miaa-A/IAC 4.52 220 36 31 27 27 24 75
MD-Miaa-B 3.10 91 31 14 11 9 5 21
MD-Miaa-C 4.14 53 5 10 9 9 6 14
MD-Mil,MAC,WCAC 4.54 307 42 49 49 39 35 93
MD 4321 3.02 999 225 218 160 122 106 168
MA East 2.75 1083 261 218 201 133 102 169
MA Cent 3.04 146 34 22 29 16 20 25
MA West 2.72 118 25 30 24 12 11 16
MI 3.48 599 115 125 102 88 48 121
MI Club 14.35 39 1 1 1 0 1 35
MN 2.82 278 66 50 54 39 23 47
MO 2.92 247 58 49 39 35 26 41
NB 2.18 35 11 10 3 2 6 3
NE/East,North,ISL 3.04 503 106 100 78 78 53 90
NE/West I 3.04 133 29 31 21 19 11 22
NE/West II/III 3.89 222 40 46 27 30 21 58
NH I/II/III 2.46 309 86 73 52 37 22 39
NJ ABC 2.74 1300 295 291 224 191 128 174
NV 2.97 56 15 11 7 5 6 12
NM 5.51 2 0 0 1 0 0 1
NY-Wch-City 3.26 202 41 42 31 24 18 47
NY-Catholic 3.34 83 12 21 10 11 9 20
NY-Sect 1 2.81 402 98 74 74 57 31 68
NY-Sect 2 3.11 199 44 34 36 26 21 38
NY-Sect 3 3.02 399 96 86 51 47 38 81
NY-Sect 4 3.02 160 30 33 34 20 16 27
NY-Sect 5 2.95 296 60 59 63 37 21 56
NY-Sect 6 3.33 300 53 65 45 45 29 63
NY-Sect 8 2.97 449 99 77 77 73 41 82
NY-Sect 9 3.05 110 20 25 25 9 7 24
NY-Sect 10 3.79 69 13 16 10 5 6 19
NY-Sect 11 2.80 381 83 74 84 56 34 50
NC Pub 2.89 380 89 82 65 45 34 65
NC Pri 3.75 140 28 16 19 20 22 35
NC Club 4.40 80 13 10 8 12 11 26
OH I 3.38 303 64 48 53 44 26 68
OH II 3.59 236 51 39 31 24 32 60
OH III 3.56 151 30 27 21 19 15 39
OH IV 3.54 146 22 29 23 20 14 39
OR 2.72 285 59 64 62 40 18 42
PA PSLA 2.97 957 200 184 195 123 99 156
PA West 2.79 296 77 51 49 46 21 53
PA Central 2.98 284 63 53 52 37 31 48
SC 2.61 130 34 31 18 20 9 18
TN 1 3.96 109 24 14 12 13 15 31
TN 2 4.11 104 20 17 11 17 8 31
TX 1 2.95 201 55 27 31 38 18 32
TX 2 2.99 276 68 46 46 44 22 50
UT 2.67 248 58 57 47 35 16 35
VT I 3.14 110 28 16 15 16 15 20
VT II 3.32 103 16 19 23 13 13 19
VA Northern AAA 2.85 244 52 52 54 31 22 34
VA/Northwest AAA 3.59 178 36 40 18 25 20 39
VA Private I 4.10 90 12 18 7 21 7 26
VA II-III Indep AA 4.00 252 51 37 36 41 27 61
VA AAA East-Indep 4.38 120 27 21 12 14 5 41
WA I 3.12 132 32 26 13 12 18 31
WA II 2.84 125 21 27 30 18 11 18
WI 2.64 163 42 42 24 19 9 27
TOTAL 2.94 18885 4224 3885 3266 2570 1795 3163
total games............... = 18885
ave error (goals)......... = 2.94
total upsets.............. = 4224
% of games within 1 goal.. = 22.37
% of games within 2 goals. = 42.94
% of games within 3 goals. = 60.23
% of games within 4 goals. = 73.84
% of games within 5 goals. = 83.35
% of games > 5 goals. = 16.75
So from the results above, 22.37% of the games were predicted within 1 goal,
42.94% of games were predicted within 2 goals, etc. The average goal error for
all games was 2.94 goals.
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