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Ann Arbor Pioneer Pioneers (16-5)

Region: MI 1State: MICoach: Darren Millman

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/25SALINE (14-5)MI 191.3W14- 1 0.000  
3/29at Forest Hills Central (18-4)MI 293.75W10- 5 0.250  
3/31at Ann Arbor Huron (10-8)MI 189.7W8- 0 0.050  
4/01LANSING WAVERLY (9-7)MI 190.9W14- 6 0.025  
4/03at Brother Rice (23-0)MI 199.11L6-19 0.000  
4/12at Toledo St John's (12-8)OH 1 Reg 192.1W12- 4 0.225  
4/17at De La Salle (10-8)MI 292.0W12- 6 0.175  
4/19at Troy Athens (9-9)MI 191.5W6- 5 0.125  
4/22DETROIT COUNTRY DAY (5-16)MI 287.0W13- 3 0.000  
4/26at Univ Detroit Jesuit (13-9)MI 193.94L6- 7 -0.175  
4/29SYLVANIA (17-2)OH 4 North91.5W14- 7 0.125  
5/03at Cincinnati St Xavier (14-8)OH 1 Reg 495.8L9-10 -0.200  
5/04at Cincinnati Sycamore (19-4)OH 1 Reg 495.5W9- 4 0.300  
5/06at Cranbrook (16-6)MI 292.57W12- 8 0.150  
5/08GROSSE POINTE SOUTH (14-8)MI 290.0W13- 3 0.025  
5/14NOVI (15-3)MI 192.39W12- 5 0.100  
5/17EAST GRAND RAPIDS (16-4)MI 294.82L7- 8ot-0.300  
5/21NORTHVILLE (6-13)MI 182.0W17- 1 0.000  
5/27vs. Ann Arbor Huron # (10-8)MI 189.7W12- 4 0.025  
5/31vs. Birmingham-Seaholm # (11-9)MI 192.110W9- 3 0.175  
6/04vs. Univ Detroit Jesuit # (13-9)MI 193.94L4-10 -0.200  
# Neutral site 85.7     0.88  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/25HSaline14-113   10       +-1.42       3.05
3/29AForest Hills Central10-55   0       ++1.42       4.67
3/31AAnn Arbor Huron8-08   8       1.42       0.40
4/01HLansing Waverly14-68   9       -1.42       -1.42
4/03ABrother Rice6-19-13   -11       1.42       -2.14
4/12AToledo St John's12-48   1       +++1.35       6.65
4/17ADe La Salle12-66   3       +1.42       2.81
4/19ATroy Athens6-51   5       1.42       -3.51
4/22HDetroit Country Day13-310   11       -1.42       -1.19
4/26AUniv Detroit Jesuit6-7-1   -3       +1.42       2.21
4/29HSylvania14-77   5       +-1.57       2.16
5/03ACincinnati St Xavier9-10-1   -2       1.35       1.39
5/04ACincinnati Sycamore9-45   -2       +++1.35       7.14
5/06ACranbrook12-84   4       1.42       0.45
5/08HGrosse Pointe South13-310   9       -1.42       0.51
5/14HNovi12-57   6       -1.42       0.78
5/17HEast Grand Rapids7-8-1   2       -1.42       -3.37
5/21HNorthville17-116   17       -1.42       -0.71
5/27NAnn Arbor Huron12-48   9       0.00       -1.03
5/31NBirmingham-Seaholm9-36   3       +0.00       2.71
6/04NUniv Detroit Jesuit4-10-6   -2       ––0.00       -4.21
         0.0017.35

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/25HSaline14-1-3.05
4/03ABrother Rice6-192.14
4/22HDetroit Country Day13-31.19
5/08HGrosse Pointe South13-30.00
5/21HNorthville17-10.71
10-goal correction: 0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 257
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 94.76   Natl Power Rank 257
Natl SOS Rating 77.93   Natl SOS Rank 679
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.88   Natl Quality Win Rank 327
W-L Pct Rating 0.76   W-L Pct Rank 383
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 0.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.7



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