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A.C. Flora Falcons (11-4)

Region: SC NoEast

State: SC

Coach: John Hutt

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/23	EASTSIDE (2-10)	SC West	73.2		W	10-	3		0.025
2/28	HILLCREST (15-3)	SC West	85.3	5	W	10-	4		0.200
3/01	at Mauldin (7-8)	SC West	79.2	10	W	14-	8		0.150
3/05	WHITE KNOLL (8-4)	SC NoEast	82.1	8	L	11-	13		-0.375
3/08	SOCASTEE (6-8)	SC NoEast	75.3		W	10-	4		0.025
3/13	HAMMOND SCHOOL (2-10)	SC NoEast	68.4		W	15-	1		0.000
3/15	CAMDEN MIL ACADEMY (5-8)	SC NoEast	74.9		W	17-	1		0.000
3/17	at Camden Mil Academy (5-8)	SC NoEast	74.9		W	14-	3		0.050
4/02	HEATHWOOD HALL (13-2)	SC NoEast	89.8	1	L	5-	12		-0.150
4/08	BLYTHEWOOD (8-6)	SC NoEast	82.3	7	W	10-	8		0.200
4/12	at Wando (12-2)	SC SoEast	88.8	2	L	8-	13		-0.125
4/15	FORT MILL (9-13)	SC NoEast	76.3		W	9-	3		0.050
4/18	at Ridge View (4-10)	SC NoEast	74.2		W	16-	6		0.050
4/22	BLYTHEWOOD (8-6)	SC NoEast	82.3	7	W	11-	7		0.200
4/25	at Heathwood Hall (13-2)	SC NoEast	89.8	1	L	6-	13		-0.100
			80.9						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/23	H	Eastside	10-	3	7	9	–	-1.01	-2.24
2/28	H	Hillcrest	10-	4	6	2	+	-1.01	3.58
3/01	A	Mauldin	14-	8	6	4	+	1.01	2.27
3/05	H	White Knoll	11-	13	-2	5	–––	-1.01	-6.51
3/08	H	Socastee	10-	4	6	9	–	-1.01	-2.55
3/13	H	Hammond School	15-	1	14	15		-1.01	-1.39
3/15	H	Camden Mil Academy	17-	1	16	10	+++	-1.01	6.06
3/17	A	Camden Mil Academy	14-	3	11	8	+	1.01	3.08
4/02	H	Heathwood Hall	5-	12	-7	-4	–	-1.01	-3.36
4/08	H	Blythewood	10-	8	2	2		-1.01	0.44
4/12	A	Wando	8-	13	-5	-5		1.01	0.11
4/15	H	Fort Mill	9-	3	6	8	–	-1.01	-2.28
4/18	A	Ridge View	16-	6	10	8		1.01	1.68
4/22	H	Blythewood	11-	7	4	2	+	-1.01	2.44
4/25	A	Heathwood Hall	6-	13	-7	-6		1.01	-1.33
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	Hammond School	15-	1	1.39
3/15	H	Camden Mil Academy	17-	1	-6.06
3/17	A	Camden Mil Academy	14-	3	-1.00
4/18	A	Ridge View	16-	6	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.38

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1305
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.02		Natl Power Rank	1305
Natl SOS Rating	68.78		Natl SOS Rank	1602
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1000
W-L Pct Rating	0.73		W-L Pct Rank	475
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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