| Region: NY C Sec 6 | State: NY | Coach: Gary Sundown |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/31 | SILVER CREEK (2-12) | NY C Sec 6 | 75.0 | | W | 17- | 6 | | 0.075 |
4/04 | EAST AURORA (13-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 85.6 | | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.150 |
4/08 | at Wilson (1-15) | NY C Sec 6 | 76.9 | | W | 9- | 8 | ot | 0.175 |
4/09 | at Jamestown (2-15) | NY A Sec 6 | 75.2 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.175 |
4/21 | at Gow School (8-5) | NY I Sec 6 | 78.0 | | W | 11- | 5 | | 0.200 |
4/23 | at Gowanda (11-9) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.8 | | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.175 |
4/25 | at East Aurora (13-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 85.6 | | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.125 |
4/29 | MEDINA (9-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.3 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.300 |
4/30 | LOCKPORT (7-12) | NY A Sec 6 | 84.3 | | L | 4- | 11 | | -0.125 |
5/01 | at Eden (11-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 85.0 | | L | 7- | 16 | | -0.050 |
5/05 | WILSON (1-15) | NY C Sec 6 | 76.9 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.125 |
5/06 | SALAMANCA (17-3) | NY C Sec 6 | 93.2 | 7 | L | 8- | 14 | | 0.000 |
5/09 | at Silver Creek (2-12) | NY C Sec 6 | 75.0 | | L | 19- | 20 | | -0.375 |
5/13 | GOWANDA (11-9) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.8 | | W | 12- | 8 | | 0.300 |
5/14 | at Salamanca (17-3) | NY C Sec 6 | 93.2 | 7 | L | 8- | 20 | | 0.000 |
5/17 | JAMESTOWN (2-15) | NY A Sec 6 | 75.2 | | W | 15- | 7 | | 0.125 |
5/19 | EDEN (11-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 85.0 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.100 |
5/20 | at Medina (9-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.3 | | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.150 |
5/30 | at Eden (11-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 85.0 | | L | 7- | 22 | | -0.050 |
| | 79.7 | | | | | | 0.17 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/31 | H | Silver Creek | 17- | 6 | 11 | 7 | + | -0.89 | 3.80 | |
4/04 | H | East Aurora | 5- | 7 | -2 | -4 | | -0.89 | 1.52 | |
4/08 | A | Wilson | 9- | 8 | 1 | 3 | – | 0.89 | -2.43 | |
4/09 | A | Jamestown | 13- | 6 | 7 | 3 | + | 0.89 | 3.53 | |
4/21 | A | Gow School | 11- | 5 | 6 | 2 | + | 0.73 | | 3.75 |
4/23 | A | Gowanda | 4- | 12 | -8 | -3 | –– | 0.89 | -4.62 | |
4/25 | A | East Aurora | 8- | 9 | -1 | -5 | ++ | 0.89 | 4.30 | |
4/29 | H | Medina | 10- | 9 | 1 | -2 | + | -0.89 | 3.48 | |
4/30 | H | Lockport | 4- | 11 | -7 | -5 | – | -0.89 | -2.25 | |
5/01 | A | Eden | 7- | 16 | -9 | -8 | | 0.89 | -1.41 | |
5/05 | H | Wilson | 9- | 8 | 1 | 5 | –– | -0.89 | -4.22 | |
5/06 | H | Salamanca | 8- | 14 | -6 | -11 | ++ | -0.89 | 4.97 | |
5/09 | A | Silver Creek | 19- | 20 | -1 | 5 | ––– | 0.89 | -6.42 | |
5/13 | H | Gowanda | 12- | 8 | 4 | -2 | ++ | -0.89 | 5.60 | |
5/14 | A | Salamanca | 8- | 20 | -12 | -13 | | 0.89 | 0.75 | |
5/17 | H | Jamestown | 15- | 7 | 8 | 5 | + | -0.89 | 2.74 | |
5/19 | H | Eden | 6- | 9 | -3 | -6 | + | -0.89 | 2.81 | |
5/20 | A | Medina | 6- | 15 | -9 | -4 | –– | 0.89 | -4.74 | |
5/30 | A | Eden | 7- | 22 | -15 | -8 | ––– | 0.89 | -7.41 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 3.75 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/31 | H | Silver Creek | 17- | 6 | -1.00 |
5/14 | A | Salamanca | 8- | 20 | -0.75 |
5/30 | A | Eden | 7- | 22 | 5.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.17 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 81. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1717 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 81.01 | | Natl Power Rank | 1717 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 66.36 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1846 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.17 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1079 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.42 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1700 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -9.0 |
|
