| Region: VA Comw | State: VA | Coach: Pat McAdams |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | H | Monticello | 12- | 0 | 12 | 15 | – | -1.67 | | -2.95 |
3/14 | A | Brooke Point | 11- | 7 | 4 | 3 | | 1.84 | 0.95 | |
3/19 | H | Stafford | 16- | 3 | 13 | 14 | | -1.84 | -0.81 | |
3/26 | H | North Stafford | 13- | 7 | 6 | 7 | | -1.84 | -1.05 | |
4/02 | H | Colonial Forge | 10- | 3 | 7 | 11 | – | -1.84 | -3.82 | |
4/16 | H | Brooke Point | 8- | 3 | 5 | 7 | | -1.84 | -1.72 | |
4/18 | A | Western Albemarle | 9- | 7 | 2 | 0 | + | 1.67 | | 2.42 |
4/23 | A | Stafford | 17- | 3 | 14 | 10 | + | 1.84 | 3.86 | |
4/25 | A | Colonial Forge | 12- | 3 | 9 | 7 | | 1.84 | 1.86 | |
4/28 | H | Mountain View | 15- | 3 | 12 | 12 | | -1.84 | -0.09 | |
4/30 | A | North Stafford | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | – | 1.84 | -2.38 | |
5/05 | H | Collegiate School | 6- | 13 | -7 | -2 | –– | -2.28 | | -4.64 |
5/07 | A | Mountain View | 12- | 0 | 12 | 8 | + | 1.84 | 3.59 | |
5/08 | A | St Christopher's | 7- | 15 | -8 | -2 | ––– | 2.28 | | -6.25 |
5/14 | H | Colonial Forge | 12- | 5 | 7 | 11 | – | -1.84 | -3.82 | |
5/16 | H | North Stafford | 15- | 8 | 7 | 7 | | -1.84 | -0.05 | |
5/21 | N | Osbourn Park | 11- | 5 | 6 | 3 | + | 0.00 | 3.19 | |
5/23 | H | Patrick Henry | 11- | 5 | 6 | 6 | | -1.84 | -0.02 | |
5/28 | N | Forest Park | 11- | 9 | 2 | 2 | | 0.00 | 0.30 | |
5/31 | H | Annandale | 9- | 4 | 5 | 1 | ++ | -1.43 | | 4.48 |
6/03 | N | Oakton | 3- | 14 | -11 | -2 | ––– | 0.00 | | -9.00 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -15.94 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/12 | H | Monticello | 12- | 0 | 2.95 |
3/19 | H | Stafford | 16- | 3 | 0.81 |
4/23 | A | Stafford | 17- | 3 | -3.86 |
4/28 | H | Mountain View | 15- | 3 | 0.09 |
5/07 | A | Mountain View | 12- | 0 | -2.00 |
6/03 | N | Oakton | 3- | 14 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.05 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 92. | | Natl CCR Rank | 470 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.50 | | Natl Power Rank | 470 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 79.86 | | Natl SOS Rank | 545 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 205 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.86 | | W-L Pct Rank | 146 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 18-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 8-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 15-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 7.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.3 |
| 
