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Amity Regional Spartans (14-6)

Conference: SCIAC

Region: CT L

State: CT

Coach: Doc Behrer

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Fairfield Prep (19-4)	CT L	97.4	3	L	3-	15		0.000
4/07	DANIEL HAND-MADISON (12-9)	CT M	93.9		W	9-	8		0.225
4/11	at Hamden (8-10)	CT L	86.1		W	15-	12		0.125
4/12	at East Lyme (16-4)	CT M	94.0		W	9-	8		0.275
4/15	at Greenwich HS (18-3)	CT L	97.1	4	L	4-	17		0.000
4/17	NOTRE DAME-WEST HAVEN (6-10)	CT M	82.3		W	13-	5		0.000
4/19	at New Fairfield (23-0)	CT S	97.5	2	L	9-	12		-0.050
4/21	at Guilford (11-8)	CT M	91.6		W	9-	8	ot	0.275
4/26	at St John Baptist (7-10)	NY Cath	89.4		W	13-	10		0.150
5/02	at Cheshire HS (10-10)	CT L	92.9		W	9-	8	ot	0.325
5/05	DANBURY (3-13)	CT L	81.0		W	14-	5		0.000
5/06	SHELTON (8-9)	CT L	85.2		W	12-	4		0.025
5/13	at Branford (4-13)	CT M	86.8		L	9-	11		-0.325
5/14	NORTH HAVEN (6-10)	CT M	82.2		W	15-	3		0.000
5/15	WEST HAVEN (1-15)	CT L	70.5		W	18-	2		0.000
5/16	at Xavier (11-7)	CT L	91.7		W	14-	11		0.250
5/20	BRANFORD (4-13)	CT M	86.8		W	14-	7		0.125
5/22	vs. Fairfield Prep # (19-4)	CT L	97.4	3	L	5-	14		-0.050
5/31	WINDSOR (10-8)	CT L	89.2		W	15-	8		0.125
6/03	at Ridgefield (19-4)	CT L	97.0	5	L	8-	13		-0.025
# Neutral site			85.2						1.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Fairfield Prep	3-	15	-12	-10	–	1.20	-2.48
4/07	H	Daniel Hand-Madison	9-	8	1	1		-1.20	0.46
4/11	A	Hamden	15-	12	3	5		1.20	-1.98
4/12	A	East Lyme	9-	8	1	-1	+	1.20	2.25
4/15	A	Greenwich HS	4-	17	-13	-10	–	1.20	-3.10
4/17	H	Notre Dame-West Haven	13-	5	8	10	–	-1.20	-2.36
4/19	A	New Fairfield	9-	12	-3	-8	++	1.20	4.76
4/21	A	Guilford	9-	8	1	-1	+	1.20	2.05
4/26	A	St John Baptist	13-	10	3	4		0.61		-1.22
5/02	A	Cheshire HS	9-	8	1	-3	+	1.20	3.63
5/05	H	Danbury	14-	5	9	11		-1.20	-1.51
5/06	H	Shelton	12-	4	8	9		-1.20	-1.15
5/13	A	Branford	9-	11	-2	3	––	1.20	-4.89
5/14	H	North Haven	15-	3	12	12		-1.20	0.04
5/15	H	West Haven	18-	2	16	22	–––	-1.20	-6.13
5/16	A	Xavier	14-	11	3	0	+	1.20	3.16
5/20	H	Branford	14-	7	7	5		-1.20	1.71
5/22	N	Fairfield Prep	5-	14	-9	-8		0.00	-0.68
5/31	H	Windsor	15-	8	7	5	+	-1.20	2.38
6/03	A	Ridgefield	8-	13	-5	-9	+	1.20	3.85
									0.00	-1.22

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Fairfield Prep	3-	15	2.00
4/15	A	Greenwich HS	4-	17	3.00
5/14	H	North Haven	15-	3	-0.04
5/15	H	West Haven	18-	2	6.13
10-goal correction: 0.55

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	333
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.20		Natl Power Rank	333
Natl SOS Rating	77.79		Natl SOS Rank	692
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	110
W-L Pct Rating	0.70		W-L Pct Rank	582
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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