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Andover HS Golden Warriors (14-6)

Conference: Merrimack

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: Wayne Puglisi

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	NEWTON SOUTH (4-16)	MA 1	89.5		W	8-	3		0.000
4/01	DRACUT (2-16)	MA 2	84.5		W	19-	1		0.000
4/04	at Chelmsford (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		W	6-	3		0.150
4/07	BISHOP GUERTIN (18-2)	NH 1	96.0		L	7-	17		-0.250
4/09	at Haverhill (7-10)	MA 1	89.7		W	15-	3		0.025
4/12	at Beverly (9-10)	MA 1	90.5		W	13-	1		0.000
4/15	at Central Catholic (13-8)	MA 2	92.8		W	18-	7		0.100
4/18	BILLERICA (17-5)	MA 1	96.4	4	L	8-	9		-0.200
4/21	NORTH ANDOVER (17-5)	MA 2	94.1		W	7-	4		0.100
4/24	LEXINGTON HS (15-5)	MA 1	94.8	9	L	2-	8		-0.325
4/29	XAVERIAN BROS (16-6)	MA 1	96.3	5	L	7-	12		-0.225
5/02	CHELMSFORD (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		W	11-	4		0.100
5/05	at Masconomet (15-6)	MA 2	93.3		W	10-	6		0.150
5/07	at Tewksbury Memorial (10-9)	MA 2	91.7		W	10-	3		0.075
5/13	at Lowell (14-7)	MA 1	93.2		W	8-	4		0.150
5/15	at Billerica (17-5)	MA 1	96.4	4	W	9-	8		0.350
5/19	WALTHAM (13-8)	MA 1	93.8		W	14-	10		0.150
5/21	LINCOLN-SUDBURY (12-7)	MA 1	94.0		L	8-	11		-0.300
5/31	PEABODY (14-6)	MA 1	92.9		W	13-	2		0.050
6/05	at St Johns Prep Danvers (18-3)	MA 1	96.5	2	L	13-	14	ot	-0.150
			88.6						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Newton South	8-	3	5	11	––	-1.09	-5.88
4/01	H	Dracut	19-	1	18	15	+	-1.09	3.09
4/04	A	Chelmsford	6-	3	3	4		1.09	-0.55
4/07	H	Bishop Guertin	7-	17	-10	0	–––	-0.98		-9.83
4/09	A	Haverhill	15-	3	12	9	+	1.09	2.67
4/12	A	Beverly	13-	1	12	10		1.09	1.99
4/15	A	Central Catholic	18-	7	11	6	++	1.09	5.41
4/18	H	Billerica	8-	9	-1	-2		-1.09	0.84
4/21	H	North Andover	7-	4	3	6	–	-1.09	-2.63
4/24	H	Lexington HS	2-	8	-6	3	–––	-1.09	-9.11
4/29	H	Xaverian Bros	7-	12	-5	-1	–	-1.09	-3.86
5/02	H	Chelmsford	11-	4	7	6		-1.09	1.27
5/05	A	Masconomet	10-	6	4	4		1.09	-0.09
5/07	A	Tewksbury Memorial	10-	3	7	7		1.09	-0.02
5/13	A	Lowell	8-	4	4	4		1.09	-0.14
5/15	A	Billerica	9-	8	1	-4	++	1.09	5.02
5/19	H	Waltham	14-	10	4	4		-1.09	0.48
5/21	H	Lincoln-Sudbury	8-	11	-3	2	––	-1.09	-4.81
5/31	H	Peabody	13-	2	11	8	+	-1.09	3.47
6/05	A	St Johns Prep Danvers	13-	14	-1	-4	+	1.09	2.86
									0.00	-9.83

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	H	Dracut	19-	1	-3.09
4/07	H	Bishop Guertin	7-	17	0.00
4/09	A	Haverhill	15-	3	-2.00
4/12	A	Beverly	13-	1	-1.99
4/15	A	Central Catholic	18-	7	-1.00
5/31	H	Peabody	13-	2	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.45

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	252
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.85		Natl Power Rank	252
Natl SOS Rating	83.63		Natl SOS Rank	314
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1514
W-L Pct Rating	0.70		W-L Pct Rank	585
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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