| Region: MN Lake | State: MN | Coach: Tim Roche |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/12 | vs. Prior Lake # (8-5) | MN Indep | 86.6 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.075 |
4/15 | at Lakeville (5-6) | MN Lake | 84.9 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.050 |
4/17 | at Bloom Jefferson (12-3) | MN Lake | 91.0 | 3 | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.250 |
4/19 | at Blake (17-0) | MN Private | 95.0 | 1 | L | 4- | 13 | | -0.100 |
4/22 | EDEN PRAIRIE (12-4) | MN Lake | 90.8 | 4 | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.200 |
4/29 | CHASKA (3-9) | MN Lake | 81.8 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/30 | at Eagan (8-7) | MN Lake | 88.1 | | W | 8- | 2 | | 0.175 |
5/01 | ROSEMOUNT (4-8) | MN Lake | 83.6 | | W | 10- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/03 | at Apple Valley (7-6) | MN Lake | 86.8 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.100 |
5/06 | at Burnsville (2-11) | MN Lake | 80.4 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | BLOOM KENNEDY (1-12) | MN Lake | 78.6 | | W | 10- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/13 | SIMLEY (2-11) | MN East | 78.4 | | W | 18- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/14 | PRIOR LAKE (8-5) | MN Indep | 86.6 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.025 |
5/16 | EAGAN (8-7) | MN Lake | 88.1 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.100 |
5/21 | vs. Eden Prairie # (12-4) | MN Lake | 90.8 | 4 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.250 |
5/23 | vs. White Bear Lake # (13-2) | MN Indep | 90.1 | 7 | W | 18- | 6 | | 0.150 |
| # Neutral site | | 84.0 | | | | | | 0.78 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/12 | N | Prior Lake | 11- | 3 | 8 | 7 | | 0.00 | 0.55 | |
4/15 | A | Lakeville | 9- | 6 | 3 | 8 | –– | 1.46 | -5.02 | |
4/17 | A | Bloom Jefferson | 8- | 4 | 4 | 0 | + | 1.46 | 3.99 | |
4/19 | A | Blake | 4- | 13 | -9 | -6 | – | 1.46 | -2.91 | |
4/22 | H | Eden Prairie | 9- | 8 | 1 | 2 | | -1.46 | -0.94 | |
4/29 | H | Chaska | 18- | 5 | 13 | 12 | | -1.46 | 0.85 | |
4/30 | A | Eagan | 8- | 2 | 6 | 3 | + | 1.46 | 2.87 | |
5/01 | H | Rosemount | 10- | 1 | 9 | 11 | | -1.46 | -1.59 | |
5/03 | A | Apple Valley | 10- | 5 | 5 | 6 | | 1.46 | -0.66 | |
5/06 | A | Burnsville | 16- | 5 | 11 | 10 | | 1.46 | 1.35 | |
5/08 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 10- | 2 | 8 | 14 | –– | -1.46 | -5.84 | |
5/13 | H | Simley | 18- | 1 | 17 | 16 | | -1.46 | 0.85 | |
5/14 | H | Prior Lake | 10- | 5 | 5 | 9 | – | -1.46 | -3.90 | |
5/16 | H | Eagan | 14- | 3 | 11 | 6 | ++ | -1.46 | 4.95 | |
5/21 | N | Eden Prairie | 7- | 9 | -2 | 0 | – | 0.00 | -2.48 | |
5/23 | N | White Bear Lake | 18- | 6 | 12 | 4 | +++ | 0.00 | 7.92 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/29 | H | Chaska | 18- | 5 | -0.85 |
5/06 | A | Burnsville | 16- | 5 | -1.35 |
5/13 | H | Simley | 18- | 1 | -0.85 |
5/16 | H | Eagan | 14- | 3 | -1.00 |
5/23 | N | White Bear Lake | 18- | 6 | -2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.38 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 92. | | Natl CCR Rank | 520 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 91.75 | | Natl Power Rank | 520 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 74.61 | | Natl SOS Rank | 998 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.78 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 380 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.88 | | W-L Pct Rank | 108 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 4.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 7.0 |
| 
