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Apex Cougars (20-4)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: John Hayden

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	W.G. ENLOE (5-13)	NC 4A	74.6		W	14-	0		0.000
3/11	DURHAM RIVERSIDE (5-16)	NC 4A	81.1		W	17-	5		0.050
3/14	EAST CHAPEL HILL (18-5)	NC 4A	90.7	4	W	9-	6		0.200
3/15	SYOSSET (17-5)	NY A Sec 8	99.4		L	5-	11		-0.075
3/18	at Cary-Middle Creek (9-7)	NC 4A	83.2		W	12-	1		0.100
3/20	at Panther Creek (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		W	13-	0		0.000
3/25	CARY HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	W	10-	1		0.100
3/28	GRAYSLAKE NORTH (7-12)	IL NorSub	79.8		W	13-	0		0.000
4/01	at Wilmington Hoggard (17-5)	NC 4A	88.0	8	L	9-	10	ot	-0.300
4/02	at Wilmington Laney (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		W	13-	4		0.100
4/08	ATHENS DRIVE (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		W	11-	2		0.000
4/11	at Green Hope (9-7)	NC 4A	84.1		W	15-	7		0.150
4/15	at Cardinal Gibbons (16-5)	NC 3A/2A	87.8	9	W	4-	3		0.175
4/18	CARY-MIDDLE CREEK (9-7)	NC 4A	83.2		W	10-	8		0.050
4/21	WAKEFIELD (15-4)	NC 4A	88.2	7	W	14-	5		0.150
4/22	PANTHER CREEK (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		W	13-	2		0.000
4/25	at Cary HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	W	8-	4		0.150
4/29	at Athens Drive (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		W	9-	1		0.000
4/30	at Chapel Hill (20-2)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	9-	11		-0.150
5/01	GREEN HOPE (9-7)	NC 4A	84.1		W	11-	6		0.075
5/06	R.J. REYNOLDS (9-8)	NC 4A	80.0		W	11-	3		0.000
5/09	GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (12-7)	NC 4A	86.8		W	9-	3		0.100
5/14	GREENSBORO PAGE (13-3)	NC 4A	89.7	5	W	9-	3		0.200
5/17	vs. Chapel Hill # (20-2)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	8-	12		-0.175
# Neutral site			86.3						0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	H	W.G. Enloe	14-	0	14	15		-1.35	-0.75
3/11	H	Durham Riverside	17-	5	12	8	+	-1.35	3.76
3/14	H	East Chapel Hill	9-	6	3	2		-1.35	0.69
3/15	H	Syosset	5-	11	-6	-7		-1.01		0.85
3/18	A	Cary-Middle Creek	12-	1	11	6	++	1.35	5.35
3/20	A	Panther Creek	13-	0	13	13		1.35	-0.37
3/25	H	Cary HS	10-	1	9	6	+	-1.35	2.55
3/28	H	Grayslake North	13-	0	13	13		-1.21		0.00
4/01	A	Wilmington Hoggard	9-	10	-1	2	–	1.35	-3.48
4/02	A	Wilmington Laney	13-	4	9	6	+	1.35	2.88
4/08	H	Athens Drive	11-	2	9	13	––	-1.35	-4.35
4/11	A	Green Hope	15-	7	8	4	++	1.35	4.16
4/15	A	Cardinal Gibbons	4-	3	1	3	–	1.35	-2.25
4/18	H	Cary-Middle Creek	10-	8	2	8	–––	-1.35	-6.34
4/21	H	Wakefield	14-	5	9	4	++	-1.35	4.56
4/22	H	Panther Creek	13-	2	11	16	––	-1.35	-5.06
4/25	A	Cary HS	8-	4	4	4		1.35	0.24
4/29	A	Athens Drive	9-	1	8	11	–	1.35	-2.65
4/30	A	Chapel Hill	9-	11	-2	-4	+	1.35	2.24
5/01	H	Green Hope	11-	6	5	7		-1.35	-1.53
5/06	H	R.J. Reynolds	11-	3	8	10	–	-1.35	-2.39
5/09	H	Greensboro Grimsley	9-	3	6	6		-1.35	-0.12
5/14	H	Greensboro Page	9-	3	6	2	+	-1.35	3.98
5/17	N	Chapel Hill	8-	12	-4	-3		0.00	-1.10
									0.00	0.85

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/29	H	W.G. Enloe	14-	0	0.75
3/11	H	Durham Riverside	17-	5	-2.00
3/18	A	Cary-Middle Creek	12-	1	-1.00
3/20	A	Panther Creek	13-	0	0.37
3/28	H	Grayslake North	13-	0	0.00
4/22	H	Panther Creek	13-	2	5.06
10-goal correction: 0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	534
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.59		Natl Power Rank	534
Natl SOS Rating	79.29		Natl SOS Rank	581
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	300
W-L Pct Rating	0.83		W-L Pct Rank	187
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	20-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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