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Arlington Spy Ponders (16-4)

Conference: Greater Boston

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Dave Roche

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	CONCORD CARLISLE (14-6)	MA 2	93.5		W	10-	7		0.200
4/03	WAYLAND (12-10)	MA 2	92.1		W	16-	9		0.150
4/07	CAMBRIDGE RINDGE/LATIN (2-11)	MA 1	78.7		W	19-	5		0.000
4/11	at Medford (6-13)	MA 1	86.3		W	14-	5		0.025
4/14	BEDFORD (0-16)	MA 3	83.4		W	19-	6		0.000
4/18	WALTHAM (13-8)	MA 1	93.8		W	16-	7		0.275
4/21	NEWTON NORTH (12-9)	MA 1	92.9		W	8-	7		0.200
4/22	at Braintree (8-10)	MA 1	91.6		L	8-	18		-0.325
4/24	at Wakefield (3-15)	MA 2	87.0		W	16-	7		0.100
4/30	at Cambridge Rindge/Latin (2-11)	MA 1	78.7		W	15-	0		0.000
5/01	MEDFORD (6-13)	MA 1	86.3		W	17-	3		0.000
5/03	COHASSET (16-7)	MA 3	93.7		W	13-	12		0.225
5/06	MALDEN CATHOLIC (10-9)	MA 1	93.1		W	15-	8		0.225
5/09	at Waltham (13-8)	MA 1	93.8		L	11-	16		-0.175
5/12	at Bedford (0-16)	MA 3	83.4		W	13-	2		0.000
5/15	at Scituate (16-6)	MA 3	95.2	7	L	4-	14		-0.150
5/19	MASCONOMET (15-6)	MA 2	93.3		W	9-	8		0.200
5/21	at Burlington (7-11)	MA 2	90.8		W	12-	11	ot	0.175
5/27	OLIVER AMES (11-9)	MA 2	90.8		W	12-	5		0.100
5/30	WINCHESTER (16-6)	MA 2	94.4		L	8-	9	ot	-0.250
			83.9						0.98

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Concord Carlisle	10-	7	3	2		-1.09	1.17
4/03	H	Wayland	16-	9	7	4	+	-1.09	2.88
4/07	H	Cambridge Rindge/Latin	19-	5	14	16	–	-1.09	-2.36
4/11	A	Medford	14-	5	9	9		1.09	0.40
4/14	H	Bedford	19-	6	13	12		-1.09	0.80
4/18	H	Waltham	16-	7	9	-1	+++	-1.09	9.78
4/21	H	Newton North	8-	7	1	2		-1.09	-1.25
4/22	A	Braintree	8-	18	-10	3	–––	1.09	12.95
4/24	A	Wakefield	16-	7	9	6	+	1.09	2.61
4/30	A	Cambridge Rindge/Latin	15-	0	15	14		1.09	0.82
5/01	H	Medford	17-	3	14	11	+	-1.09	3.22
5/03	H	Cohasset	13-	12	1	1		-1.09	-0.43
5/06	H	Malden Catholic	15-	8	7	1	++	-1.09	5.55
5/09	A	Waltham	11-	16	-5	-3	–	1.09	-2.04
5/12	A	Bedford	13-	2	11	10		1.09	0.98
5/15	A	Scituate	4-	14	-10	-4	––	1.09	-5.87
5/19	H	Masconomet	9-	8	1	2		-1.09	-0.97
5/21	A	Burlington	12-	11	1	3	–	1.09	-2.28
5/27	H	Oliver Ames	12-	5	7	6		-1.09	0.84
5/30	H	Winchester	8-	9	-1	0		-1.09	-0.89
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	Cambridge Rindge/Latin	19-	5	2.36
4/14	H	Bedford	19-	6	-0.80
4/22	A	Braintree	8-	18	0.00
4/30	A	Cambridge Rindge/Latin	15-	0	-0.82
5/01	H	Medford	17-	3	-3.22
5/12	A	Bedford	13-	2	-0.98
5/15	A	Scituate	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	321
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.05		Natl Power Rank	321
Natl SOS Rating	74.33		Natl SOS Rank	1030
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.98		Natl Quality Win Rank	251
W-L Pct Rating	0.80		W-L Pct Rank	271
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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