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Arrowhead Warhawks (23-1)

Region: WI MALLState: WICoach: Mark Howard

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/05WAUNAKEE (17-4)WI MALAWht84.12W10- 9 0.225  
4/18at Stoughton (5-13)WI MALAWht71.7W13- 0 0.025  
4/22at Milwaukee Eastside (8-7)WI MALL76.89W8- 1 0.125  
4/26at Appleton (11-6)WI BayVal76.610W11- 4 0.100  
4/26vs. Menasha # (0-9)WI BayVal66.4W17- 0 0.000  
4/29MILWAUKEE NORTHSHORE (1-12)WI MALL69.6W13- 4 0.000  
5/02at Milwaukee Marquette (11-6)WI MALL81.05L4- 8 -0.300  
5/03GREEN BAY METRO (4-10)WI BayVal70.9W9- 2 0.000  
5/05MILWAUKEE EASTSIDE (8-7)WI MALL76.89W8- 4 0.100  
5/07BROOKFIELD (4-7)WI MALL73.6W13- 7 0.050  
5/10at Wausau (16-2)WI BayVal82.93W10- 8 0.225  
5/12at Brookfield (4-7)WI MALL73.6W14- 4 0.075  
5/14KETTLE MORAINE (5-8)WI MALL73.4W10- 4 0.025  
5/15at University-Milwaukee (5-8)WI MALL73.0W14-10 0.075  
5/17vs. Stoughton # (5-13)WI MALAWht71.7W14- 0 0.000  
5/17vs. Sun Prairie # (15-6)WI MALAWht81.34W8- 5 0.175  
5/18vs. Madison Regents # (7-6)WI MALARed76.0W8- 4 0.100  
5/18vs. Andover # (17-3)MN North90.6W5- 4 0.350  
5/20at Milwaukee Northshore (1-12)WI MALL69.6W12- 0 0.025  
5/22MILWAUKEE MARQUETTE (11-6)WI MALL81.05W8- 3 0.175  
5/30KETTLE MORAINE (5-8)WI MALL73.4W19- 7 0.025  
6/01vs. Milwaukee Eastside # (8-7)WI MALL76.89W8- 5 0.100  
6/04at Waunakee (17-4)WI MALAWht84.12W8- 7 0.275  
6/07vs. Wausau # (16-2)WI BayVal82.93W7- 5 1.200  
# Neutral site 81.0     3.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/05HWaunakee10-91   1       -0.85       0.19
4/18AStoughton13-013   9       +0.85       4.00
4/22AMilwaukee Eastside8-17   5       +0.85       2.29
4/26AAppleton11-47   6       0.85       0.61
4/26NMenasha17-017   16       0.00       0.77
4/29HMilwaukee Northshore13-49   11       -0.85       -1.87
5/02AMilwaukee Marquette4-8-4   2       ––0.85       -5.77
5/03HGreen Bay Metro9-27   10       –-0.85       -3.39
5/05HMilwaukee Eastside8-44   6       –-0.85       -2.42
5/07HBrookfield13-76   8       –-0.85       -2.32
5/10AWausau10-82   1       0.85       1.12
5/12ABrookfield14-410   7       +0.85       3.38
5/14HKettle Moraine10-46   9       –-0.85       -2.87
5/15AUniversity-Milwaukee14-104   7       –0.85       -3.04
5/17NStoughton14-014   10       ++0.00       4.14
5/17NSun Prairie8-53   3       0.00       0.07
5/18NMadison Regents8-44   6       0.00       -1.97
5/18NAndover5-41   -4       ++0.00       4.59
5/20AMilwaukee Northshore12-012   9       +0.85       2.83
5/22HMilwaukee Marquette8-35   3       -0.85       1.52
5/30HKettle Moraine19-712   9       +-0.85       3.13
6/01NMilwaukee Eastside8-53   6       –0.00       -2.56
6/04AWaunakee8-71   -1       0.85       1.90
6/07NWausau7-52   2       0.00       0.27
         0.004.59

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/18AStoughton13-0-3.00
4/26NMenasha17-0-0.77
5/12ABrookfield14-40.00
5/17NStoughton14-0-4.14
5/20AMilwaukee Northshore12-0-2.00
5/30HKettle Moraine19-7-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.50

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 1083
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 87.05   Natl Power Rank 1083
Natl SOS Rating 68.98   Natl SOS Rank 1579
Natl Quality Win Rating 3.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 4
W-L Pct Rating 0.96   W-L Pct Rank 23
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 23-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 6-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 1.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 10-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 2.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 19-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0



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