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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Wilmington Ashley Eagles (4-11)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Lee Graham

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/04	at Wilmington Laney (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		L	4-	13		-0.100
3/11	WILMINGTON HOGGARD (17-5)	NC 4A	88.0	8	L	2-	15		-0.075
3/15	DARLINGTON (5-10)	GA Area08	84.9		W	11-	9		0.425
3/18	WAKEFIELD (15-4)	NC 4A	88.2	7	L	8-	13		-0.075
3/20	WILMINGTON NEW HANOVER (1-12)	NC 4A	71.7		W	11-	2		0.125
3/28	ATHENS DRIVE (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		L	2-	3	ot	-0.275
3/29	PANTHER CREEK (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6			-
4/01	CAPE FEAR ACADEMY (8-8)	NC Prvate	84.7		L	6-	7		-0.100
4/04	CARY HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	L	6-	12		-0.125
4/17	at Wilmington New Hanover (1-12)	NC 4A	71.7		W	11-	4		0.200
4/18	FORSYTH COU DAY (7-10)	NC Prvate	82.5		L	4-	11		-0.150
4/22	at Wilmington Hoggard (17-5)	NC 4A	88.0	8	L	5-	13		-0.025
4/25	at Carrboro (3-13)	NC 3A/2A	68.2		W	11-	1		0.125
4/26	at Cary-Middle Creek (9-7)	NC 4A	83.2		L	8-	16		-0.100
4/29	WILMINGTON LANEY (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		L	4-	10		-0.175
5/01	at Cape Fear Academy (8-8)	NC Prvate	84.7		L	7-	9		-0.025
			83.2						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/04	A	Wilmington Laney	4-	13	-9	-6	–	1.35	-3.24
3/11	H	Wilmington Hoggard	2-	15	-13	-7	–––	-1.35	-6.29
3/15	H	Darlington	11-	9	2	-7	+++	-1.10		8.63
3/18	H	Wakefield	8-	13	-5	-7	+	-1.35	2.44
3/20	H	Wilmington New Hanover	11-	2	9	5	++	-1.35	4.09
3/28	H	Athens Drive	2-	3	-1	1	–	-1.35	-2.46
4/01	H	Cape Fear Academy	6-	7	-1	-6	++	-1.45		5.05
4/04	H	Cary HS	6-	12	-6	-5		-1.35	-0.57
4/17	A	Wilmington New Hanover	11-	4	7	2	++	1.35	4.78
4/18	H	Forsyth Cou Day	4-	11	-7	-4	–	-1.45		-3.17
4/22	A	Wilmington Hoggard	5-	13	-8	-9		1.35	1.40
4/25	A	Carrboro	11-	1	10	5	++	1.35	4.53
4/26	A	Cary-Middle Creek	8-	16	-8	-6		1.35	-1.76
4/29	H	Wilmington Laney	4-	10	-6	-3	–	-1.35	-2.93
5/01	A	Cape Fear Academy	7-	9	-2	-9	+++	1.45		6.95
									0.00	17.46

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/11	H	Wilmington Hoggard	2-	15	3.00
4/25	A	Carrboro	11-	1	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2080
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.19		Natl Power Rank	2080
Natl SOS Rating	72.71		Natl SOS Rank	1185
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	2168
W-L Pct Rating	0.27		W-L Pct Rank	2196
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3

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