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Athens Drive Jaguars (9-11)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Brian Yerger

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	HOLLY SPRINGS (14-3)	NC 4A	86.9		L	3-	11		-0.100
2/29	SOUTHEAST RALEIGH (0-13)	NC 4A	67.1		W	11-	3		0.025
3/06	at W.G. Enloe (5-13)	NC 4A	74.6		W	14-	6		0.250
3/11	TRITON (7-9)	NC 3A/2A	74.7		W	8-	5		0.150
3/12	WILMINGTON LANEY (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		L	3-	7		-0.175
3/14	GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (12-7)	NC 4A	86.8		L	3-	11		-0.100
3/18	GREEN HOPE (9-7)	NC 4A	84.1		L	3-	14		-0.125
3/21	at Cary-Middle Creek (9-7)	NC 4A	83.2		L	3-	11		-0.100
3/25	PANTHER CREEK (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		W	7-	6		0.150
3/28	at Wilmington Ashley (4-11)	NC 4A	77.2		W	3-	2	ot	0.275
3/29	at Wilmington New Hanover (1-12)	NC 4A	71.7		W	13-	3		0.200
4/08	at Apex (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	L	2-	11		0.000
4/11	CARY HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	L	2-	14		-0.100
4/15	at Millbrook (1-10)	NC Indep	67.2		W	6-	1		0.100
4/16	WAKEFIELD (15-4)	NC 4A	88.2	7	L	2-	9		-0.050
4/18	at Green Hope (9-7)	NC 4A	84.1		W	1-	0		0.450
4/22	CARY-MIDDLE CREEK (9-7)	NC 4A	83.2		L	3-	13		-0.150
4/25	at Panther Creek (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		W	8-	5		0.225
4/29	APEX (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	L	1-	9		0.000
5/02	CARY HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	L	4-	6		-0.100
			83.3						0.82

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/28	H	Holly Springs	3-	11	-8	-6	–	-1.35	-2.20
2/29	H	SouthEast Raleigh	11-	3	8	9		-1.35	-1.19
3/06	A	W.G. Enloe	14-	6	8	0	+++	1.35	7.95
3/11	H	Triton	8-	5	3	4		-1.35	-0.80
3/12	H	Wilmington Laney	3-	7	-4	-3		-1.35	-0.82
3/14	H	Greensboro Grimsley	3-	11	-8	-6	–	-1.35	-2.12
3/18	H	Green Hope	3-	14	-11	-5	––	-1.35	-5.53
3/21	A	Cary-Middle Creek	3-	11	-8	-6		1.35	-1.65
3/25	H	Panther Creek	7-	6	1	4	–	-1.35	-3.06
3/28	A	Wilmington Ashley	3-	2	1	-1	+	1.35	2.46
3/29	A	Wilmington New Hanover	13-	3	10	2	+++	1.35	7.90
4/08	A	Apex	2-	11	-9	-13	++	1.35	4.35
4/11	H	Cary HS	2-	14	-12	-6	–––	-1.35	-6.45
4/15	A	Millbrook	6-	1	5	6		1.35	-0.87
4/16	H	Wakefield	2-	9	-7	-8		-1.35	0.56
4/22	H	Cary-Middle Creek	3-	13	-10	-4	–––	-1.35	-6.34
4/25	A	Panther Creek	8-	5	3	1		1.35	1.63
4/29	H	Apex	1-	9	-8	-11	+	-1.35	2.65
5/02	H	Cary HS	4-	6	-2	-6	+	-1.35	3.55
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/18	H	Green Hope	3-	14	1.00
3/29	A	Wilmington New Hanover	13-	3	0.00
4/11	H	Cary HS	2-	14	2.00
4/22	H	Cary-Middle Creek	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	2017
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.30		Natl Power Rank	2017
Natl SOS Rating	73.53		Natl SOS Rank	1104
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.82		Natl Quality Win Rank	358
W-L Pct Rating	0.45		W-L Pct Rank	1559
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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