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Avon Old Farms Winged Beavers (11-5)

Conference: FNDRegion: NE 1 WestState: CTCoach: Bart Governanti

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/29SOUTH HADLEY (4-14)MA 286.4W20- 0 0.000  
4/02at Brunswick School (8-8)NE 1 West93.67L5- 7 -0.250  
4/05NORTHFIELD MT HERMON (5-11)NE 1 West91.310W11- 8 0.150  
4/09at Phillips Exeter (13-4)NE East-197.1L9-12 -0.200  
4/12at Tabor Academy (10-7)NE East-195.6W9- 7 0.275  
4/16BRIDGTON ACADEMY ( -)W11-10   
4/19CHOATE (7-8)NE 1 West92.29W9- 4 0.175  
4/23WESTMINSTER SCHOOL (7-7)NE 1 West92.58L8- 9ot-0.300  
4/26KENT SCHOOL (7-9)NE 1 West91.3W12- 6 0.150  
4/30at Hotchkiss (7-6)NE 1 West95.55W7- 6 0.300  
5/03at Trinity-Pawling (14-2)NE 1 West98.72L5-12 -0.175  
5/05at Berkshire School (6-8)NE 2 West91.4W12-10 0.150  
5/10DEERFIELD (15-1)NE 1 West99.21W9- 8 0.325  
5/14TAFT SCHOOL (4-10)NE 1 West90.3W9- 8ot0.150  
5/17at Salisbury School (12-4)NE 1 West97.73W9- 8 0.325  
5/21LOOMIS CHAFFEE (11-5)NE 1 West96.44L8- 9 -0.250  
 94.4     0.83  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/29HSouth Hadley20-020   10       +++-0.76       10.30
4/02ABrunswick School5-7-2   0       –0.32       -2.38
4/05HNorthfield Mt Hermon11-83   4       -0.32       -0.64
4/09APhillips Exeter9-12-3   -2       0.33       -0.92
4/12ATabor Academy9-72   -1       +0.33       2.55
4/19HChoate9-45   3       -0.32       1.62
4/23HWestminster School8-9-1   2       –-0.32       -3.20
4/26HKent School12-66   4       +-0.32       2.12
4/30AHotchkiss7-61   -2       +0.32       2.56
5/03ATrinity-Pawling5-12-7   -3       ––0.32       -4.41
5/05ABerkshire School12-102   4       0.16       -1.82
5/10HDeerfield9-81   -3       +-0.32       3.95
5/14HTaft School9-81   4       –-0.32       -2.99
5/17ASalisbury School9-81   -3       ++0.32       4.37
5/21HLoomis Chaffee8-9-1   0       -0.32       -1.01
         0.0010.11

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/29HSouth Hadley20-010.30
10-goal correction: -0.69

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 96.   Natl CCR Rank 178
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 95.38   Natl Power Rank 177
Natl SOS Rating 97.11   Natl SOS Rank 9
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.83   Natl Quality Win Rank 381
W-L Pct Rating 0.69   W-L Pct Rank 626
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.3



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