| Conference: SWCIAC | Region: CT S | State: CT | Coach: Ted Lutz |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/02 | H | Bethel | 13- | 4 | 9 | 13 | –– | -1.20 | -4.38 | |
4/08 | H | Immaculate Danbury | 13- | 6 | 7 | 6 | | -1.20 | 1.18 | |
4/10 | H | New Milford | 10- | 11 | -1 | -1 | | -1.20 | -0.30 | |
4/15 | A | Weston | 6- | 5 | 1 | -4 | ++ | 1.20 | 4.98 | |
4/17 | H | Newtown | 5- | 15 | -10 | -4 | –– | -1.20 | -5.92 | |
4/19 | H | Somers | 8- | 14 | -6 | -7 | | -1.14 | | 1.39 |
4/21 | A | Brookfield | 11- | 7 | 4 | 0 | ++ | 1.20 | 4.20 | |
4/24 | A | New Fairfield | 4- | 17 | -13 | -11 | – | 1.20 | -2.07 | |
5/01 | H | Pomperaug | 14- | 10 | 4 | 4 | | -1.20 | -0.40 | |
5/03 | A | Putnam Valley | 5- | 8 | -3 | -5 | + | 1.14 | | 2.45 |
5/05 | H | Masuk-Monroe | 9- | 11 | -2 | 0 | | -1.20 | -1.96 | |
5/07 | A | Bunnell-Stratford | 15- | 3 | 12 | 10 | | 1.20 | 1.80 | |
5/10 | A | Fox Lane | 6- | 14 | -8 | -3 | –– | 1.14 | | -5.43 |
5/12 | A | Notre Dame-Fairfield | 17- | 3 | 14 | 5 | +++ | 1.20 | 9.20 | |
5/13 | A | Glastonbury | 6- | 11 | -5 | -7 | + | 1.20 | 2.44 | |
5/15 | H | Stratford | 16- | 4 | 12 | 14 | | -1.20 | -1.75 | |
5/20 | A | New Milford | 5- | 11 | -6 | -3 | – | 1.20 | -2.89 | |
5/31 | A | Granby | 6- | 7 | -1 | 3 | –– | 1.20 | -4.14 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -1.59 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/17 | H | Newtown | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
4/24 | A | New Fairfield | 4- | 17 | 2.07 |
5/07 | A | Bunnell-Stratford | 15- | 3 | -1.80 |
5/12 | A | Notre Dame-Fairfield | 17- | 3 | -4.00 |
5/15 | H | Stratford | 16- | 4 | 1.75 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.11 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 89. | | Natl CCR Rank | 877 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 88.23 | | Natl Power Rank | 877 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 72.27 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1251 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.60 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2496 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.44 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1563 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
| 
