| Conference: Div I | Region: NY A Sec 11 | State: NY | Coach: Tim Cox |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/28 | H | Commack | 17- | 4 | 13 | 12 | | -0.65 | 1.47 | |
4/01 | A | Smithtown West | 6- | 16 | -10 | -2 | | 0.65 | -8.16 | |
4/03 | A | Middle Country | 13- | 6 | 7 | 2 | ++ | 0.65 | 4.84 | |
4/09 | H | Copiague | 15- | 7 | 8 | 9 | | -0.65 | -0.79 | |
4/11 | H | Deer Park | 19- | 6 | 13 | 10 | + | -0.65 | 3.05 | |
4/15 | H | West Islip | 6- | 17 | -11 | -7 | | -0.65 | -4.37 | |
4/17 | A | Patchogue-Medford | 12- | 3 | 9 | 7 | + | 0.65 | 2.10 | |
4/21 | H | Islip | 16- | 5 | 11 | 8 | + | -0.65 | 2.88 | |
4/23 | A | Smithtown East | 8- | 2 | 6 | -1 | +++ | 0.65 | 6.72 | |
4/26 | A | Madison Boro | 6- | 13 | -7 | -1 | | 1.01 | | -5.63 |
4/29 | H | Half Hollow Hills East | 10- | 9 | 1 | 6 | | -0.65 | -5.08 | |
5/01 | A | Ward Melville | 5- | 13 | -8 | -5 | | 0.65 | -2.55 | |
5/07 | A | Sachem East | 9- | 2 | 7 | 5 | + | 0.65 | 2.46 | |
5/09 | H | Brentwood | 15- | 2 | 13 | 15 | | -0.65 | -1.55 | |
5/13 | A | Riverhead | 15- | 6 | 9 | 8 | | 0.65 | 0.78 | |
5/15 | H | Lindenhurst | 8- | 13 | -5 | -2 | | -0.65 | -3.24 | |
5/19 | H | Connetquot | 15- | 6 | 9 | 5 | + | -0.65 | 3.56 | |
5/23 | H | East Islip | 11- | 8 | 3 | 2 | | -0.65 | 0.95 | |
5/28 | A | West Islip | 9- | 20 | -11 | -8 | | 0.65 | -3.07 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -5.63 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/28 | H | Commack | 17- | 4 | -1.47 |
4/01 | A | Smithtown West | 6- | 16 | 0.00 |
4/11 | H | Deer Park | 19- | 6 | -3.05 |
4/15 | H | West Islip | 6- | 17 | 1.00 |
4/21 | H | Islip | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
5/09 | H | Brentwood | 15- | 2 | 1.54 |
5/28 | A | West Islip | 9- | 20 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.10 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 98. | | Natl CCR Rank | 89 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 97.63 | | Natl Power Rank | 83 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 84.91 | | Natl SOS Rank | 248 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.35 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 786 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.68 | | W-L Pct Rank | 651 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.3 |
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