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Beaver Country Day Mariners (5-8)

Region: NE EIL

State: MA

Coach: Larry McKinney

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/09	BERWICK (12-6)	NE EIL	90.6		L	10-	20		0.000
4/14	GANN ACADEMY (1-8)	NE Indep	73.6		W	6-	5		0.100
4/18	CONCORD ACADEMY (1-10)	NE EIL	75.1		W	13-	7		0.175
4/23	at Chapel Hill CH (9-5)	NE EIL	85.3		L	13-	20		-0.100
4/28	at Pingree (15-6)	NE EIL	94.1		L	1-	18		0.000
4/30	WORCESTER ACADEMY (7-6)	NE East-1	88.7		L	7-	24		0.000
5/02	at Landmark School (1-11)	NE EIL	76.9		W	11-	7		0.225
5/05	BANCROFT (10-6)	NE EIL	86.5		L	10-	14		-0.075
5/07	at Concord Academy (1-10)	NE EIL	75.1		W	10-	6		0.175
5/09	at Portsmouth Abbey (14-2)	NE EIL	95.7		L	2-	16		0.000
5/12	CHAPEL HILL CH (9-5)	NE EIL	85.3		L	10-	13		-0.100
5/14	LANDMARK SCHOOL (1-11)	NE EIL	76.9		W	8-	7		0.200
5/16	at Lexington Christian (6-7)	NE EIL	82.4		L	7-	13		-0.175
			80.1						0.43

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	H	Berwick	10-	20	-10	-12		-0.34	1.86
4/14	H	Gann Academy	6-	5	1	6	––	-0.34	-4.62
4/18	H	Concord Academy	13-	7	6	3	+	-0.34	2.69
4/23	A	Chapel Hill CH	13-	20	-7	-6		0.34	-0.78
4/28	A	Pingree	1-	18	-17	-15		0.34	-1.92
4/30	H	Worcester Academy	7-	24	-17	-11	––	-0.34	-5.98
5/02	A	Landmark School	11-	7	4	1	+	0.34	2.87
5/05	H	Bancroft	10-	14	-4	-7	+	-0.34	3.37
5/07	A	Concord Academy	10-	6	4	3		0.34	1.38
5/09	A	Portsmouth Abbey	2-	16	-14	-17	+	0.34	2.90
5/12	H	Chapel Hill CH	10-	13	-3	-6	+	-0.34	2.53
5/14	H	Landmark School	8-	7	1	2		-0.34	-0.82
5/16	A	Lexington Christian	7-	13	-6	-3	–	0.34	-3.49
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	Berwick	10-	20	-1.86
4/28	A	Pingree	1-	18	1.92
4/30	H	Worcester Academy	7-	24	5.98
5/09	A	Portsmouth Abbey	2-	16	-2.90
10-goal correction: 0.24

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1755
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.42		Natl Power Rank	1755
Natl SOS Rating	67.46		Natl SOS Rank	1728
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.43		Natl Quality Win Rank	699
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1827
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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