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Bethel Park Blackhawks (11-5)

Region: PA 1DSOUTH

State: PA

Coach: Jon Moriarty

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	FRANKLIN REGIONAL (7-13)	PA 1DSOUTH	87.7	10	W	10-	2		0.150
4/05	at Cathedral Prep (2-14)	PA 2DNORTH	72.2		W	13-	2		0.000
4/05	at Erie-McDowell (5-10)	PA 2DNORTH	76.9		W	18-	6		0.000
4/09	at Hampton (7-11)	PA 1DSOUTH	84.7		W	10-	7		0.150
4/12	PETERS TOWNSHIP (6-9)	PA 1DSOUTH	85.8		W	6-	4		0.125
4/16	NORTH ALLEGHENY (15-3)	PA 1DNORTH	95.8	1	L	8-	12		-0.200
4/19	at Pine Richland (11-7)	PA 1DNORTH	90.5	8	L	4-	6		-0.275
4/23	UPPER ST CLAIR (7-10)	PA 1DSOUTH	85.4		W	7-	6		0.100
4/26	at Mount Lebanon (15-6)	PA 1DSOUTH	94.4	3	L	2-	3	ot	-0.175
4/30	at Seneca Valley (14-6)	PA 1DNORTH	94.8	2	L	6-	7		-0.150
5/03	GREENSBURG CATH CENT (7-9)	PA 2DSOUTH	82.1		W	11-	1		0.025
5/07	NORTH HILLS (7-10)	PA 2DNORTH	80.1		W	19-	3		0.000
5/12	at Central Catholic (8-9)	PA 1DNORTH	90.3	9	W	5-	4		0.250
5/14	BUTLER AREA (8-11)	PA 2DNORTH	80.3		W	25-	1		0.000
5/20	FRANKLIN REGIONAL (7-13)	PA 1DSOUTH	87.7	10	W	9-	8	ot	0.150
5/28	vs. Mount Lebanon # (15-6)	PA 1DSOUTH	94.4	3	L	6-	11		-0.200
# Neutral site			87.5						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Franklin Regional	10-	2	8	4	+	-1.12	3.62
4/05	A	Cathedral Prep	13-	2	11	16	––	1.12	-4.79
4/05	A	Erie-McDowell	18-	6	12	13		1.12	-0.56
4/09	A	Hampton	10-	7	3	4		1.12	-1.49
4/12	H	Peters Township	6-	4	2	5	–	-1.12	-3.01
4/16	H	North Allegheny	8-	12	-4	-2		-1.12	-1.63
4/19	A	Pine Richland	4-	6	-2	1	–	1.12	-2.50
4/23	H	Upper St Clair	7-	6	1	6	––	-1.12	-4.57
4/26	A	Mount Lebanon	2-	3	-1	-3		1.12	1.63
4/30	A	Seneca Valley	6-	7	-1	-4	+	1.12	2.93
5/03	H	Greensburg Cath Cent	11-	1	10	9		-1.12	1.13
5/07	H	North Hills	19-	3	16	13	+	-1.12	3.24
5/12	A	Central Catholic	5-	4	1	0		1.12	1.15
5/14	H	Butler Area	25-	1	24	12	+++	-1.12	11.73
5/20	H	Franklin Regional	9-	8	1	4	–	-1.12	-3.38
5/28	N	Mount Lebanon	6-	11	-5	-2	–	0.00	-3.50
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	Cathedral Prep	13-	2	4.79
4/05	A	Erie-McDowell	18-	6	0.56
5/03	H	Greensburg Cath Cent	11-	1	0.00
5/07	H	North Hills	19-	3	-3.24
5/14	H	Butler Area	25-	1	11.73
10-goal correction: -0.60

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	603
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.18		Natl Power Rank	603
Natl SOS Rating	81.79		Natl SOS Rank	401
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1528
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	633
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.7


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