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Bishop O'Connell Knights (7-13)

Region: DC WCAC

State: VA

Coach: B. Rosenberger

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	at Sidwell Friends (4-12)	DC MAC	79.8		W	13-	6		0.175
3/22	DEMATHA (14-5)	DC WCAC	98.0	1	L	6-	16		-0.050
3/27	at Woodberry Forest (10-5)	VA 1 VIP	94.8		L	4-	9		0.000
3/29	MARSHALL (0-12)	VA Liberty	78.0		W	11-	3		0.025
4/01	at Flint Hill (14-3)	DC MAC	91.8	5	L	7-	8		-0.150
4/03	BISHOP IRETON (8-13)	DC WCAC	86.5		W	6-	2		0.200
4/05	NOTRE DAME ACADEMY (9-9)	MD MILL	89.3	7	W	10-	7		0.275
4/08	at Paul VI (12-9)	DC WCAC	89.0	8	L	6-	10		-0.175
4/10	ST JOHNS DC (10-9)	DC WCAC	86.1		W	8-	3		0.200
4/12	at Cape Henry Collegiate (13-5)	VA 1 Tidewtr	90.8		L	5-	7		-0.050
4/15	at Archbishop Carroll (0-15)	DC WCAC	67.7		W	14-	1		0.000
4/17	GONZAGA (15-6)	DC WCAC	93.6	3	L	8-	14		-0.175
4/19	POTOMAC SCHOOL (8-10)	DC MAC	86.4		L	7-	10		-0.275
4/22	at Our Lady-Good Counsel (16-5)	DC WCAC	94.2	2	L	5-	12		-0.075
4/23	ANNANDALE (15-4)	VA Patriot	93.5		L	7-	8	3ot	-0.075
4/26	at St Stephen/St Agnes (8-12)	DC IAC	91.2		L	1-	11		-0.075
4/29	at St Marys Ryken (11-7)	DC WCAC	93.4	4	L	4-	16		-0.025
4/30	BISHOP MCNAMARA (2-12)	DC WCAC	73.4		W	10-	1		0.000
5/01	EPISCOPAL HS (7-12)	DC IAC	87.8		L	6-	11		-0.225
5/05	at Our Lady-Good Counsel (16-5)	DC WCAC	94.2	2	L	8-	13		-0.075
			88.1						-0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	A	Sidwell Friends	13-	6	7	3	++	1.73	4.33
3/22	H	DeMatha	6-	16	-10	-8		-1.73	-1.81
3/27	A	Woodberry Forest	4-	9	-5	-12	+++	2.23		6.64
3/29	H	Marshall	11-	3	8	9		-1.38		-0.86
4/01	A	Flint Hill	7-	8	-1	-4	+	1.73	2.58
4/03	H	Bishop Ireton	6-	2	4	2		-1.73	1.82
4/05	H	Notre Dame Academy	10-	7	3	-1	++	-1.73	4.20
4/08	A	Paul VI	6-	10	-4	-3		1.73	-0.66
4/10	H	St Johns DC	8-	3	5	2	+	-1.73	2.86
4/12	A	Cape Henry Collegiate	5-	7	-2	-8	++	2.23		5.59
4/15	A	Archbishop Carroll	14-	1	13	13		1.73	0.09
4/17	H	Gonzaga	8-	14	-6	-3	–	-1.73	-3.05
4/19	H	Potomac School	7-	10	-3	1	––	-1.73	-4.23
4/22	A	Our Lady-Good Counsel	5-	12	-7	-7		1.73	-0.46
4/23	H	Annandale	7-	8	-1	-7	++	-1.38		5.71
4/26	A	St Stephen/St Agnes	1-	11	-10	-7	–	1.59		-2.69
4/29	A	St Marys Ryken	4-	16	-12	-9	–	1.73	-2.64
4/30	H	Bishop McNamara	10-	1	9	14	––	-1.73	-4.57
5/01	H	Episcopal HS	6-	11	-5	-1	––	-1.59		-4.22
5/05	A	Our Lady-Good Counsel	8-	13	-5	-7		1.73	1.54
									0.00	10.18

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	H	DeMatha	6-	16	0.00
4/15	A	Archbishop Carroll	14-	1	-0.09
4/26	A	St Stephen/St Agnes	1-	11	0.00
4/29	A	St Marys Ryken	4-	16	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1269
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.44		Natl Power Rank	1269
Natl SOS Rating	83.12		Natl SOS Rank	337
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	2454
W-L Pct Rating	0.35		W-L Pct Rank	1953
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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