| Region: FL 7B Centrl | State: FL | Coach: Danny Hogan |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/04 | at Lake Mary (9-7) | FL 4B Centrl | 89.0 | 9 | W | 16- | 8 | | 0.200 |
2/05 | TIMBER CREEK (11-5) | FL 8B Centrl | 91.5 | 7 | W | 13- | 12 | ot | 0.200 |
2/13 | at Dr. Phillips (4-11) | FL 7B Centrl | 76.5 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
2/15 | GULLIVER PREP (12-5) | FL Dist-12 | 87.8 | | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.350 |
2/19 | at Winter Park (17-2) | FL 8B Centrl | 94.9 | 2 | L | 7- | 14 | | -0.125 |
2/21 | EDGEWATER (11-4) | FL 7B Centrl | 86.2 | | W | 18- | 3 | | 0.000 |
2/27 | at Freedom (11-6) | FL 7B Centrl | 86.6 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.100 |
3/01 | WINTER SPRINGS (14-4) | FL 4B Centrl | 93.2 | 4 | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.225 |
3/04 | OLYMPIA (7-10) | FL 7B Centrl | 83.8 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.025 |
3/05 | at Flagler Palm Coast (2-13) | FL 4B Centrl | 76.9 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/11 | NEASE (13-5) | FL 3B Centrl | 92.2 | 5 | W | 14- | 13 | ot | 0.200 |
3/18 | LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (14-5) | FL 8B Centrl | 93.8 | 3 | L | 5- | 15 | | -0.225 |
3/19 | at Bolles (11-6) | FL 2B Centrl | 88.5 | 10 | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.325 |
3/27 | OVIEDO (8-8) | FL 5B Centrl | 87.4 | | W | 16- | 9 | | 0.050 |
3/31 | vs. Olympia # (7-10) | FL 7B Centrl | 83.8 | | W | 12- | 1 | | 0.075 |
4/01 | at Freedom (11-6) | FL 7B Centrl | 86.6 | | W | 20- | 2 | | 0.100 |
4/08 | VERO BEACH (13-6) | FL Dist-9 | 75.6 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.000 |
4/11 | WINTER PARK (17-2) | FL 8B Centrl | 94.9 | 2 | L | 3- | 8 | | -0.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 84.1 | | | | | | -0.50 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/04 | A | Lake Mary | 16- | 8 | 8 | 2 | ++ | 1.48 | 5.71 | |
2/05 | H | Timber Creek | 13- | 12 | 1 | 2 | | -1.48 | -1.45 | |
2/13 | A | Dr. Phillips | 16- | 2 | 14 | 13 | | 1.48 | 1.47 | |
2/15 | H | Gulliver Prep | 6- | 12 | -6 | 4 | ––– | -1.15 | | -10.27 |
2/19 | A | Winter Park | 7- | 14 | -7 | -5 | | 1.48 | -1.89 | |
2/21 | H | Edgewater | 18- | 3 | 15 | 10 | ++ | -1.48 | 4.56 | |
2/27 | A | Freedom | 11- | 6 | 5 | 6 | | 1.48 | -1.44 | |
3/01 | H | Winter Springs | 5- | 10 | -5 | -1 | –– | -1.48 | -4.07 | |
3/04 | H | Olympia | 13- | 6 | 7 | 9 | | -1.48 | -1.63 | |
3/05 | A | Flagler Palm Coast | 16- | 3 | 13 | 11 | | 1.48 | 1.99 | |
3/11 | H | Nease | 14- | 13 | 1 | 2 | | -1.48 | -0.74 | |
3/18 | H | Lake Highland Prep | 5- | 15 | -10 | -1 | ––– | -1.48 | -9.31 | |
3/19 | A | Bolles | 5- | 7 | -2 | 3 | –– | 1.48 | -4.54 | |
3/27 | H | Oviedo | 16- | 9 | 7 | 8 | | -1.48 | -1.22 | |
3/31 | N | Olympia | 12- | 1 | 11 | 7 | + | 0.00 | 3.86 | |
4/01 | A | Freedom | 20- | 2 | 18 | 6 | +++ | 1.48 | 11.56 | |
4/08 | H | Vero Beach | 8- | 7 | 1 | 16 | ––– | -1.15 | | -15.45 |
4/11 | H | Winter Park | 3- | 8 | -5 | -2 | – | -1.48 | -2.86 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -25.72 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/13 | A | Dr. Phillips | 16- | 2 | -1.47 |
2/21 | H | Edgewater | 18- | 3 | -4.56 |
3/05 | A | Flagler Palm Coast | 16- | 3 | -1.99 |
3/18 | H | Lake Highland Prep | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
3/31 | N | Olympia | 12- | 1 | -1.00 |
4/01 | A | Freedom | 20- | 2 | -8.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.95 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 610 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.94 | | Natl Power Rank | 610 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 75.12 | | Natl SOS Rank | 954 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.50 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2358 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.67 | | W-L Pct Rank | 679 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 9-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.7 |
| 
