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Brooke Point Blackhawks (8-10)

Region: VA Comw

State: VA

Coach: Mike Seymour

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/14	ALBEMARLE (18-3)	VA Comw	92.5	1	L	7-	11		-0.175
3/27	at Culpeper HS (1-13)	VA Cedar	76.9		W	18-	10		0.075
3/28	at Patrick Henry (11-7)	VA WesVal	87.1	8	L	7-	8		-0.175
4/02	at North Stafford (11-6)	VA Comw	87.6	7	L	10-	14		-0.200
4/08	at Mountain View (3-12)	VA Comw	79.6		W	12-	4		0.150
4/10	FOREST PARK (15-3)	VA Card	91.4	2	L	9-	13		-0.225
4/11	at Stafford (5-9)	VA Comw	80.2		W	18-	10		0.125
4/16	at Albemarle (18-3)	VA Comw	92.5	1	L	3-	8		-0.075
4/23	at Colonial Forge (6-10)	VA Comw	82.3		L	13-	14	ot	-0.300
4/25	JAMES MONROE (1-7)	VA Battfd	76.2		W	18-	6		0.000
5/02	MOUNTAIN VIEW (3-12)	VA Comw	79.6		L	5-	9		-0.425
5/05	NORTH STAFFORD (11-6)	VA Comw	87.6	7	L	10-	11		-0.300
5/07	STAFFORD (5-9)	VA Comw	80.2		W	14-	6		0.025
5/08	COLONIAL FORGE (6-10)	VA Comw	82.3		W	14-	5		0.100
5/10	STAFFORD (5-9)	VA Comw	80.2		W	17-	5		0.025
5/14	at North Stafford (11-6)	VA Comw	87.6	7	L	12-	13		-0.200
5/19	COLONIAL FORGE (6-10)	VA Comw	82.3		W	17-	7		0.100
5/21	vs. Forest Park # (15-3)	VA Card	91.4	2	L	8-	9	ot	-0.175
# Neutral site			85.0						-1.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	H	Albemarle	7-	11	-4	-3		-1.84	-0.95
3/27	A	Culpeper HS	18-	10	8	7		1.84	1.22
3/28	A	Patrick Henry	7-	8	-1	-3		1.84	1.54
4/02	A	North Stafford	10-	14	-4	-2	–	1.84	-2.49
4/08	A	Mountain View	12-	4	8	4	++	1.84	4.47
4/10	H	Forest Park	9-	13	-4	-1	–	-1.84	-2.65
4/11	A	Stafford	18-	10	8	5	+	1.84	2.75
4/16	A	Albemarle	3-	8	-5	-7		1.84	1.72
4/23	A	Colonial Forge	13-	14	-1	2	–	1.84	-3.26
4/25	H	James Monroe	18-	6	12	10		-1.67		1.61
5/02	H	Mountain View	5-	9	-4	7	–––	-1.84	11.20
5/05	H	North Stafford	10-	11	-1	2	–	-1.84	-3.16
5/07	H	Stafford	14-	6	8	9		-1.84	-0.92
5/08	H	Colonial Forge	14-	5	9	6	+	-1.84	3.07
5/10	H	Stafford	17-	5	12	9	+	-1.84	3.08
5/14	A	North Stafford	12-	13	-1	-2		1.84	0.51
5/19	H	Colonial Forge	17-	7	10	6	++	-1.84	4.07
5/21	N	Forest Park	8-	9	-1	-3	+	0.00	2.19
									0.00	1.61

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/25	H	James Monroe	18-	6	-1.61
5/10	H	Stafford	17-	5	-2.00
5/19	H	Colonial Forge	17-	7	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1351
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.93		Natl Power Rank	1351
Natl SOS Rating	75.93		Natl SOS Rank	868
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	2925
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1613
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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