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Blackstone Valley V-T Beavers (12-9)

Conference: MTLL

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	at Blue Hills RVT (4-13)	MA 3	70.9		W	14-	6		0.025
4/02	CAPE COD TECH (9-8)	MA 2	80.2		W	5-	4		0.150
4/03	NE METRO VOTECH (5-12)	MA 3	74.2		W	14-	1		0.050
4/07	at Minuteman RVT (2-12)	MA 3	72.7		W	5-	3		0.100
4/09	SOUTH SHORE RVT (7-10)	MA 3	76.1		W	13-	2		0.050
4/10	at Lynn-Vocational (3-10)	MA 3	72.6		W	6-	2		0.100
4/14	at Shawsheen Valley RVT (16-1)	MA 2	91.2		L	7-	8		-0.075
4/16	at Gr.New Bedford RVT (8-12)	MA 2	76.9		W	8-	2		0.150
4/21	NORTHBRIDGE (13-7)	MA 2	88.6		L	1-	16		-0.125
4/23	at Nipmuc Regional (8-11)	MA 2	83.6		L	5-	11		-0.200
4/24	GRAFTON (16-6)	MA 2	89.0		L	3-	18		-0.125
4/30	TRI COUNTY RVT (13-6)	MA 3	83.7		W	11-	9		0.175
5/06	at Southeastern RVT (1-17)	MA 2	68.1		W	14-	2		0.025
5/10	at Northbridge (13-7)	MA 2	88.6		L	3-	14		-0.075
5/12	ASSABET VALLEY RVT (15-4)	MA 2	85.1		L	5-	6		-0.250
5/13	at South Shore RVT (7-10)	MA 3	76.1		W	12-	2		0.100
5/15	GR.NEW BEDFORD RVT (8-12)	MA 2	76.9		L	1-	3		-0.400
5/19	at Tri County RVT (13-6)	MA 3	83.7		L	9-	12		-0.275
5/20	at Cape Cod Tech (9-8)	MA 2	80.2		W	6-	2		0.200
5/21	SOUTHEASTERN RVT (1-17)	MA 2	68.1		W	17-	7		0.000
5/27	at Grafton (16-6)	MA 2	89.0		L	5-	17		-0.075
			73.4						-0.47

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	A	Blue Hills RVT	14-	6	8	9		1.09	-0.97
4/02	H	Cape Cod Tech	5-	4	1	4	–	-1.09	-3.15
4/03	H	NE Metro VoTech	14-	1	13	8	++	-1.09	4.87
4/07	A	Minuteman RVT	5-	3	2	6	–	1.09	-3.88
4/09	H	South Shore RVT	13-	2	11	8	+	-1.09	3.04
4/10	A	Lynn-Vocational	6-	2	4	6	–	1.09	-2.07
4/14	A	Shawsheen Valley RVT	7-	8	-1	-7	+++	1.09	6.14
4/16	A	Gr.New Bedford RVT	8-	2	6	4	+	1.09	2.06
4/21	H	Northbridge	1-	16	-15	-5	–––	-1.17		10.43
4/23	A	Nipmuc Regional	5-	11	-6	-2	––	1.17		-4.17
4/24	H	Grafton	3-	18	-15	-5	–––	-1.17		10.06
4/30	H	Tri County RVT	11-	9	2	3		-1.09	-1.17
5/06	A	Southeastern RVT	14-	2	12	9	+	1.09	3.02
5/10	A	Northbridge	3-	14	-11	-7	––	1.17		-4.10
5/12	H	Assabet Valley RVT	5-	6	-1	0		-1.09	-0.87
5/13	A	South Shore RVT	12-	2	10	6	++	1.09	4.22
5/15	H	Gr.New Bedford RVT	1-	3	-2	6	–––	-1.09	-8.12
5/19	A	Tri County RVT	9-	12	-3	1	–	1.09	-3.99
5/20	A	Cape Cod Tech	6-	2	4	2	+	1.09	2.03
5/21	H	Southeastern RVT	17-	7	10	11		-1.09	-1.16
5/27	A	Grafton	5-	17	-12	-7	––	1.17		-4.72
									0.00	-33.48

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	NE Metro VoTech	14-	1	-3.00
4/09	H	South Shore RVT	13-	2	-1.00
4/21	H	Northbridge	1-	16	5.00
4/24	H	Grafton	3-	18	5.00
5/06	A	Southeastern RVT	14-	2	-2.00
5/10	A	Northbridge	3-	14	1.00
5/13	A	South Shore RVT	12-	2	0.00
5/21	H	Southeastern RVT	17-	7	1.16
5/27	A	Grafton	5-	17	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.39

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1536
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.90		Natl Power Rank	1536
Natl SOS Rating	56.27		Natl SOS Rank	2596
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.47		Natl Quality Win Rank	2290
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	1051
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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