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Blake Bears (17-0)

Region: MN Private

State: MN

Coach: Rob Horn

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	BRECK (5-7)	MN Private	87.9		W	5-	2		0.000
4/15	ACADEMY HOLY ANGELS (7-6)	MN Private	89.7	9	W	17-	1		0.025
4/17	at Totino Grace (2-9)	MN Private	84.6		W	13-	3		0.000
4/19	EASTVIEW (14-2)	MN Lake	91.8	2	W	13-	4		0.100
4/22	at Benilde St. Margaret (5-7)	MN Private	87.6		W	12-	7		0.050
4/23	at Minnetonka (11-3)	MN Classic	90.5	5	W	17-	6		0.125
4/26	at Breck (5-7)	MN Private	87.9		W	18-	4		0.075
4/29	at Academy Holy Angels (7-6)	MN Private	89.7	9	W	11-	6		0.100
5/01	TOTINO GRACE (2-9)	MN Private	84.6		W	12-	4		0.000
5/03	EDEN PRAIRIE (12-4)	MN Lake	90.8	4	W	10-	9		0.075
5/06	BENILDE ST. MARGARET (5-7)	MN Private	87.6		W	12-	6		0.000
5/10	EDINA (10-4)	MN Classic	90.4	6	W	15-	6		0.075
5/12	BLOOM KENNEDY (1-12)	MN Lake	78.6		W	13-	0		0.000
5/14	ACADEMY HOLY ANGELS (7-6)	MN Private	89.7	9	W	13-	6		0.025
5/16	vs. Bloom Jefferson # (12-3)	MN Lake	91.0	3	W	13-	4		0.100
5/21	vs. White Bear Lake # (13-2)	MN Indep	90.1	7	W	15-	7		0.025
5/23	vs. Eden Prairie # (12-4)	MN Lake	90.8	4	W	16-	5		1.125
# Neutral site			86.7						1.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	H	Breck	5-	2	3	10	–––	-1.46	-7.12
4/15	H	Academy Holy Angels	17-	1	16	9	+++	-1.46	7.42
4/17	A	Totino Grace	13-	3	10	10		1.46	-0.22
4/19	H	Eastview	13-	4	9	6	+	-1.46	2.91
4/22	A	Benilde St. Margaret	12-	7	5	8	–	1.46	-2.82
4/23	A	Minnetonka	17-	6	11	5	++	1.46	5.63
4/26	A	Breck	18-	4	14	7	+++	1.46	6.79
4/29	A	Academy Holy Angels	11-	6	5	6		1.46	-0.67
5/01	H	Totino Grace	12-	4	8	13	––	-1.46	-5.14
5/03	H	Eden Prairie	10-	9	1	7	––	-1.46	-5.57
5/06	H	Benilde St. Margaret	12-	6	6	11	––	-1.46	-4.73
5/10	H	Edina	15-	6	9	7	+	-1.46	2.47
5/12	H	Bloom Kennedy	13-	0	13	18	––	-1.46	-5.47
5/14	H	Academy Holy Angels	13-	6	7	9		-1.46	-1.58
5/16	N	Bloom Jefferson	13-	4	9	6	+	0.00	2.90
5/21	N	White Bear Lake	15-	7	8	9		0.00	-0.71
5/23	N	Eden Prairie	16-	5	11	5	++	0.00	5.89
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	H	Academy Holy Angels	17-	1	-6.00
4/17	A	Totino Grace	13-	3	0.22
4/23	A	Minnetonka	17-	6	-1.00
4/26	A	Breck	18-	4	-4.00
5/12	H	Bloom Kennedy	13-	0	5.47
5/23	N	Eden Prairie	16-	5	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	248
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.00		Natl Power Rank	248
Natl SOS Rating	79.58		Natl SOS Rank	565
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	56
W-L Pct Rating	1.00		W-L Pct Rank	11
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-0		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	5-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	8.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	10-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	8.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	14-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	8.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	9.3


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