| Region: NY A Sec 2 | State: NY | Coach: Kevin Dayton |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/05 | at Central Square (11-8) | NY A Sec 3 | 92.6 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.325 |
4/08 | at Niskayuna (21-1) | NY A Sec 2 | 98.9 | 1 | L | 8- | 11 | | -0.125 |
4/10 | at Burnt Hills (4-17) | NY B Sec 2 | 77.1 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/12 | LASALLE INSTITUTE (9-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 83.9 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.100 |
4/14 | COLUMBIA (11-9) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.1 | 8 | W | 21- | 14 | | 0.175 |
4/16 | GUILDERLAND (17-3) | NY A Sec 2 | 95.7 | 2 | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.200 |
4/22 | COLONIE (15-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 92.8 | 4 | L | 9- | 12 | | -0.275 |
4/24 | at Shenendehowa (13-7) | NY A Sec 2 | 93.4 | 3 | L | 4- | 14 | | -0.175 |
4/26 | at Christian Bros (14-6) | NY A Sec 2 | 91.0 | 5 | L | 11- | 12 | 2ot | -0.250 |
4/29 | at Bethlehem (2-17) | NY A Sec 2 | 80.2 | | W | 15- | 8 | | 0.125 |
5/01 | BURNT HILLS (4-17) | NY B Sec 2 | 77.1 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/06 | SARATOGA SPGS (7-12) | NY A Sec 2 | 87.9 | 9 | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.200 |
5/08 | at Shaker (6-15) | NY A Sec 2 | 87.0 | 10 | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.250 |
5/13 | at Columbia (11-9) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.1 | 8 | W | 15- | 12 | | 0.225 |
5/16 | QUEENSBURY (15-3) | NY A Sec 2 | 90.5 | 7 | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.175 |
5/17 | at Guilderland (17-3) | NY A Sec 2 | 95.7 | 2 | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.150 |
5/20 | at Colonie (15-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 92.8 | 4 | L | 9- | 13 | | -0.225 |
5/22 | BETHLEHEM (2-17) | NY A Sec 2 | 80.2 | | W | 11- | 5 | | 0.075 |
5/27 | SARATOGA SPGS (7-12) | NY A Sec 2 | 87.9 | 9 | L | 8- | 9 | ot | -0.300 |
| | 92.0 | | | | | | -0.05 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/05 | A | Central Square | 10- | 9 | 1 | -3 | + | 1.02 | | 3.99 |
4/08 | A | Niskayuna | 8- | 11 | -3 | -5 | + | 0.97 | 2.48 | |
4/10 | A | Burnt Hills | 18- | 5 | 13 | 12 | | 0.97 | 1.12 | |
4/12 | H | LaSalle Institute | 8- | 7 | 1 | 6 | –– | -0.97 | -5.22 | |
4/14 | H | Columbia | 21- | 14 | 7 | 3 | ++ | -0.97 | 4.26 | |
4/16 | H | Guilderland | 6- | 12 | -6 | -2 | –– | -0.97 | -4.36 | |
4/22 | H | Colonie | 9- | 12 | -3 | 1 | –– | -0.97 | -4.12 | |
4/24 | A | Shenendehowa | 4- | 14 | -10 | -3 | ––– | 0.97 | -7.12 | |
4/26 | A | Christian Bros | 11- | 12 | -1 | 0 | | 0.97 | -0.78 | |
4/29 | A | Bethlehem | 15- | 8 | 7 | 5 | + | 0.97 | 2.40 | |
5/01 | H | Burnt Hills | 17- | 2 | 15 | 14 | | -0.97 | 1.18 | |
5/06 | H | Saratoga Spgs | 10- | 9 | 1 | 2 | | -0.97 | -1.23 | |
5/08 | A | Shaker | 14- | 8 | 6 | 0 | ++ | 0.97 | 5.99 | |
5/13 | A | Columbia | 15- | 12 | 3 | 1 | + | 0.97 | 2.20 | |
5/16 | H | Queensbury | 17- | 4 | 13 | 3 | +++ | -0.97 | 9.55 | |
5/17 | A | Guilderland | 6- | 9 | -3 | -4 | | 0.97 | 0.58 | |
5/20 | A | Colonie | 9- | 13 | -4 | -1 | – | 0.97 | -3.18 | |
5/22 | H | Bethlehem | 11- | 5 | 6 | 7 | | -0.97 | -0.54 | |
5/27 | H | Saratoga Spgs | 8- | 9 | -1 | 2 | – | -0.97 | -3.23 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 3.99 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/10 | A | Burnt Hills | 18- | 5 | -1.12 |
4/24 | A | Shenendehowa | 4- | 14 | 0.00 |
5/01 | H | Burnt Hills | 17- | 2 | -1.17 |
5/16 | H | Queensbury | 17- | 4 | -3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.28 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 659 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.64 | | Natl Power Rank | 659 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 91.08 | | Natl SOS Rank | 88 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1542 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.58 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1028 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -4.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 5-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 10-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.3 |
|
