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Bella Vista Broncos (7-12)

Conference: D1Region: CA SanJoqState: CACoach: Dave Webster

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/23at Novato (18-4)CA Marin93.06L4-17 0.000  
2/28at Tamalpais (7-12)CA Marin84.8L9-10 -0.200  
3/06at San Rafael (5-12)CA Marin82.5W5- 3 0.225  
3/25at Marin Catholic (11-10)CA Marin91.2L8-10 -0.050  
3/28CARDINAL NEWMAN (13-3)CA BayArea90.5L8- 9 -0.175  
4/01FOOTHILL-SACRAMENTO (0-12)CA SanJoq74.4W13- 0 0.025  
4/07at Acalanes (14-6)CA DFAL91.5L4-13 -0.050  
4/07at Oak Ridge (10-7)CA SanJoq87.9L6-10 -0.150  
4/10JESUIT-SACRAMENTO (11-4)CA SanJoq89.2W9- 82ot0.325  
4/15at Granite Bay (16-4)CA SanJoq90.3L3- 9 -0.125  
4/17at Foothill-Sacramento (0-12)CA SanJoq74.4W11- 1 0.050  
4/19CLAYTON VALLEY (12-9)CA BayShor85.4W11- 9 0.225  
4/22SAINT MARY'S (5-10)CA BayShor82.8W14-13 0.225  
4/24OAK RIDGE (10-7)CA SanJoq87.9L5-15 -0.200  
4/29at Jesuit-Sacramento (11-4)CA SanJoq89.2L3-15 -0.150  
5/01GRANITE BAY (16-4)CA SanJoq90.3L5- 9 -0.150  
5/03vs. Granite Bay # (16-4)CA SanJoq90.3L3- 4 -0.150  
5/06OAK RIDGE (10-7)CA SanJoq87.9W10- 9 0.300  
5/10vs. Jesuit-Sacramento # (11-4)CA SanJoq89.2L3-13 -0.175  
# Neutral site 80.3     -0.20  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/23ANovato4-17-13   -10       –0.66       -3.47
2/28ATamalpais9-10-1   -2       0.66       0.73
3/06ASan Rafael5-32   1       0.66       1.10
3/25AMarin Catholic8-10-2   -8       +++0.66       6.19
3/28HCardinal Newman8-9-1   -3       +-0.66       2.45
4/01HFoothill-Sacramento13-013   9       ++-0.66       4.17
4/07AAcalanes4-13-9   -8       0.66       -0.92
4/07AOak Ridge6-10-4   -4       0.66       -0.35
4/10HJesuit-Sacramento9-81   -3       +-0.66       3.61
4/15AGranite Bay3-9-6   -5       0.66       -1.11
4/17AFoothill-Sacramento11-110   8       +0.66       2.49
4/19HClayton Valley11-92   1       -0.66       1.27
4/22HSaint Mary's14-131   1       -0.66       0.17
4/24HOak Ridge5-15-10   -2       –––-0.66       -7.66
4/29AJesuit-Sacramento3-15-12   -4       –––0.66       -8.07
5/01HGranite Bay5-9-4   -4       -0.66       -0.43
5/03NGranite Bay3-4-1   -4       +0.00       3.23
5/06HOak Ridge10-91   -2       +-0.66       3.34
5/10NJesuit-Sacramento3-13-10   -3       –––0.00       -6.73
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/23ANovato4-173.00
4/01HFoothill-Sacramento13-0-3.00
4/17AFoothill-Sacramento11-10.00
4/24HOak Ridge5-150.00
4/29AJesuit-Sacramento3-152.00
5/10NJesuit-Sacramento3-130.00
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 84.   Natl CCR Rank 1406
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 84.38   Natl Power Rank 1406
Natl SOS Rating 67.31   Natl SOS Rank 1746
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.20   Natl Quality Win Rank 1834
W-L Pct Rating 0.37   W-L Pct Rank 1883
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 7-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -5.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.3



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