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Bishop McNamara Mustangs (2-12)

Region: DC WCAC

State: MD

Coach: Gary Imes

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	BISHOP IRETON (8-13)	DC WCAC	86.5		L	2-	13		0.000
3/14	vs. The Heights # (11-8)	MD MILL	87.6	10	L	1-	20		0.000
3/15	vs. Eleanor Roosevelt # (3-8)	MD MILL	75.9		L	4-	6		-0.175
3/18	OUR LADY-GOOD COUNSEL (16-5)	DC WCAC	94.2	2	L	2-	14		0.000
3/19	ARCHBISHOP CARROLL (0-15)	DC WCAC	67.7		W	13-	7		0.125
4/02	GONZAGA (15-6)	DC WCAC	93.6	3	L	0-	17		0.000
4/04	at McLean School (2-7)	MD Indep	65.5		W	16-	8		0.100
4/05	at Paul VI (12-9)	DC WCAC	89.0	8	L	2-	20		0.000
4/08	at St Marys Ryken (11-7)	DC WCAC	93.4	4	L	0-	13		0.000
4/14	HUNTINGTOWN (13-4)	MD 43 East	93.4		L	0-	20		0.000
4/15	ST JOHNS DC (10-9)	DC WCAC	86.1		L	2-	15		0.000
4/28	at DeMatha (14-5)	DC WCAC	98.0	1	L	0-	20		0.000
4/30	at Bishop O'Connell (7-13)	DC WCAC	85.4		L	1-	10		0.000
5/01	at St Johns DC (10-9)	DC WCAC	86.1		L	4-	26		0.000
# Neutral site			87.1						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	Bishop Ireton	2-	13	-11	-10		-1.73	-1.34
3/14	N	The Heights	1-	20	-19	-14	––	0.00	-4.64
3/15	N	Eleanor Roosevelt	4-	6	-2	-3		0.00	0.98
3/18	H	Our Lady-Good Counsel	2-	14	-12	-15	+	-1.73	2.92
3/19	H	Archbishop Carroll	13-	7	6	5		-1.73	1.47
4/02	H	Gonzaga	0-	17	-17	-15	–	-1.73	-2.21
4/04	A	McLean School	16-	8	8	6		1.73	1.51
4/05	A	Paul VI	2-	20	-18	-15	–	1.73	-2.82
4/08	A	St Marys Ryken	0-	13	-13	-21	+++	1.73	8.20
4/14	H	Huntingtown	0-	20	-20	-19		-1.33		-1.32
4/15	H	St Johns DC	2-	15	-13	-10	–	-1.73	-3.30
4/28	A	DeMatha	0-	20	-20	-23	+	1.73	3.49
4/30	A	Bishop O'Connell	1-	10	-9	-14	++	1.73	4.57
5/01	A	St Johns DC	4-	26	-22	-13	–––	1.73	-8.84
									0.00	-1.32

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	H	Bishop Ireton	2-	13	1.00
3/14	N	The Heights	1-	20	4.64
3/18	H	Our Lady-Good Counsel	2-	14	-2.92
4/02	H	Gonzaga	0-	17	2.21
4/05	A	Paul VI	2-	20	2.82
4/08	A	St Marys Ryken	0-	13	-8.20
4/14	H	Huntingtown	0-	20	1.32
4/15	H	St Johns DC	2-	15	3.00
4/28	A	DeMatha	0-	20	-3.49
5/01	A	St Johns DC	4-	26	8.84
10-goal correction: 0.66

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	2374
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.41		Natl Power Rank	2374
Natl SOS Rating	80.92		Natl SOS Rank	464
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1273
W-L Pct Rating	0.14		W-L Pct Rank	2495
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-11.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-17.0


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