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Bonita Vista Barons (4-12)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Metro

State: CA

Coach: Jason Snyder

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/04	PATRICK HENRY (14-5)	CA City	90.7		L	1-	11		0.000
3/07	at Monte Vista-Spg Valley (4-15)	CA Grosmnt	82.8		W	6-	3		0.325
3/10	SANTANA (10-10)	CA Grosmnt	86.4		L	5-	11		-0.100
3/12	at Eastlake (7-12)	CA Metro	83.4		L	6-	10		-0.200
3/26	OTAY RANCH (16-4)	CA Metro	90.0		L	3-	20		0.000
3/31	FOOTHILLS CHRISTIAN (13-7)	CA Grosmnt	88.4		L	8-	15		-0.100
4/02	MONTGOMERY (0-14)	CA Metro	70.1		W	19-	1		0.000
4/04	LA JOLLA HS (11-8)	CA City	91.1	10	L	2-	14		0.000
4/14	SCRIPPS RANCH (9-10)	CA City	87.7		L	4-	12		-0.100
4/16	HILLTOP (3-13)	CA Metro	77.9		W	12-	6		0.175
4/18	SERRA (3-15)	CA City	83.3		L	6-	12		-0.200
4/23	at Otay Ranch (16-4)	CA Metro	90.0		L	3-	14		0.000
4/30	at Montgomery (0-14)	CA Metro	70.1		W	21-	5		0.000
5/03	at Fallbrook (4-16)	CA North	83.9		L	7-	13		-0.125
5/07	at Hilltop (3-13)	CA Metro	77.9		L	6-	9		-0.325
5/14	EASTLAKE (7-12)	CA Metro	83.4		L	6-	7		-0.200
			75.7						-0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/04	H	Patrick Henry	1-	11	-10	-10		-0.20	0.44
3/07	A	Monte Vista-Spg Valley	6-	3	3	-3	++	0.20	5.59
3/10	H	Santana	5-	11	-6	-6		-0.20	0.15
3/12	A	Eastlake	6-	10	-4	-2		0.20	-1.76
3/26	H	Otay Ranch	3-	20	-17	-10	–––	-0.20	-6.62
3/31	H	Foothills Christian	8-	15	-7	-6		-0.20	-1.45
4/02	H	Montgomery	19-	1	18	12	+++	-0.20	6.08
4/04	H	La Jolla HS	2-	14	-12	-14	+	-0.20	2.08
4/14	H	Scripps Ranch	4-	12	-8	-6	–	-0.20	-2.02
4/16	H	Hilltop	12-	6	6	3	+	-0.20	2.79
4/18	H	Serra	6-	12	-6	-2	–	-0.20	-3.55
4/23	A	Otay Ranch	3-	14	-11	-11		0.20	-0.22
4/30	A	Montgomery	21-	5	16	12	++	0.20	4.48
5/03	A	Fallbrook	7-	13	-6	-5		0.20	-1.03
5/07	A	Hilltop	6-	9	-3	3	––	0.20	-5.81
5/14	H	Eastlake	6-	7	-1	-2		-0.20	0.84
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/04	H	Patrick Henry	1-	11	0.00
3/26	H	Otay Ranch	3-	20	7.00
4/02	H	Montgomery	19-	1	-6.08
4/04	H	La Jolla HS	2-	14	-2.08
4/23	A	Otay Ranch	3-	14	0.22
4/30	A	Montgomery	21-	5	-4.48
10-goal correction: -0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1831
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.07		Natl Power Rank	1831
Natl SOS Rating	60.23		Natl SOS Rank	2368
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	2686
W-L Pct Rating	0.25		W-L Pct Rank	2207
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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