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Boulder Panthers (8-9)

Region: CO Centenn

State: CO

Coach: Matthew Kelley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	at Smoky Hill (12-5)	CO Centenn	90.0		L	8-	11		-0.175
3/13	BISHOP'S SCHOOL (11-5)	CA Coastal	89.8		L	5-	12		-0.200
3/15	PARKWAY WEST (10-7)	MO Indep-1	91.8		W	14-	7		0.325
3/22	vs. Shipley # (10-8)	PA Noeast	87.7		W	10-	9		0.250
3/25	vs. Dalton # (0-14)	NY Ivy	75.0		W	15-	1		0.000
3/26	vs. Our Lady-Good Counsel # (16-4)	DC WCAC	95.5		L	5-	11		-0.050
4/02	at Mullen (10-6)	CO Centenn	94.0	7	L	0-	14		0.000
4/09	at Cherokee Trail (5-7)	CO Centenn	83.5		W	15-	8		0.175
4/12	COLUMBINE (9-7)	CO Foothil	89.5		W	9-	4		0.275
4/14	at Alexander Dawson (6-8)	CO Foothil	84.6		L	6-	9		-0.250
4/16	OVERLAND (2-8)	CO Centenn	76.9		W	17-	5		0.000
4/19	GRANDVIEW (7-6)	CO Centenn	89.2		L	5-	14		-0.250
4/23	at Cherry Creek (13-3)	CO Centenn	96.8	2	L	3-	21		0.000
4/25	FAIRVIEW (8-9)	CO Centenn	89.8		L	10-	14		-0.175
4/28	at Eaglecrest (1-11)	CO Centenn	74.9		W	20-	8		0.000
5/02	at Colorado Academy (11-6)	CO South	89.1		W	8-	7		0.325
5/06	at Arapahoe (13-4)	CO Contl	95.3	4	L	2-	14		0.000
# Neutral site			84.4						0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	A	Smoky Hill	8-	11	-3	-3		1.60	0.35
3/13	H	Bishop's School	5-	12	-7	-2	––	-0.81		-5.28
3/15	H	Parkway West	14-	7	7	-3	+++	-1.04		10.42
3/22	N	Shipley	10-	9	1	0		0.00		1.38
3/25	N	Dalton	15-	1	14	12		0.00		1.68
3/26	N	Our Lady-Good Counsel	5-	11	-6	-8	+	0.00		2.18
4/02	A	Mullen	0-	14	-14	-12		1.60	-1.90
4/09	A	Cherokee Trail	15-	8	7	3	++	1.60	4.25
4/12	H	Columbine	9-	4	5	-1	++	-1.60	5.81
4/14	A	Alexander Dawson	6-	9	-3	0	–	1.60	-3.40
4/16	H	Overland	17-	5	12	12		-1.60	0.32
4/19	H	Grandview	5-	14	-9	0	–––	-1.60	-8.54
4/23	A	Cherry Creek	3-	21	-18	-16		1.60	-1.51
4/25	H	Fairview	10-	14	-4	-3		-1.60	-1.27
4/28	A	Eaglecrest	20-	8	12	12		1.60	0.21
5/02	A	Colorado Academy	8-	7	1	-3	++	1.60	4.40
5/06	A	Arapahoe	2-	14	-12	-13		1.60	1.28
									0.00	10.39

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	N	Dalton	15-	1	-1.68
4/02	A	Mullen	0-	14	1.90
4/16	H	Overland	17-	5	-0.32
4/23	A	Cherry Creek	3-	21	1.51
4/28	A	Eaglecrest	20-	8	-0.21
5/06	A	Arapahoe	2-	14	-1.28
10-goal correction: -0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	976
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.29		Natl Power Rank	976
Natl SOS Rating	77.43		Natl SOS Rank	776
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	864
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1488
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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