| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 1 | State: MA | Coach: Kevin Kay |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/01 | FRAMINGHAM (3-15) | MA 1 | 86.8 | | W | 7- | 2 | | 0.150 |
4/03 | NEEDHAM (16-7) | MA 1 | 94.3 | | L | 1- | 13 | | -0.125 |
4/09 | at Newton North (12-9) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.150 |
4/11 | MILTON (4-14) | MA 2 | 87.6 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.150 |
4/14 | BROOKLINE (9-11) | MA 1 | 91.3 | | W | 13- | 11 | | 0.225 |
4/16 | at Norwood (16-6) | MA 2 | 93.5 | | L | 5- | 15 | | -0.125 |
4/22 | ARLINGTON (16-4) | MA 2 | 94.0 | | W | 18- | 8 | | 0.325 |
4/24 | at Norwell (13-7) | MA 3 | 92.8 | | L | 6- | 10 | | -0.175 |
5/01 | at Framingham (3-15) | MA 1 | 86.8 | | W | 11- | 4 | | 0.200 |
5/02 | at Natick (4-15) | MA 2 | 86.7 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.175 |
5/05 | at Needham (16-7) | MA 1 | 94.3 | | L | 5- | 16 | | -0.075 |
5/07 | DEDHAM (0-15) | MA 3 | 75.8 | | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | NEWTON NORTH (12-9) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | L | 4- | 6 | | -0.200 |
5/12 | WELLESLEY (18-5) | MA 2 | 94.4 | | W | 11- | 10 | ot | 0.350 |
5/14 | at Brookline (9-11) | MA 1 | 91.3 | | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.225 |
5/15 | WEYMOUTH (10-9) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | L | 9- | 12 | | -0.250 |
5/17 | at Walpole (21-1) | MA 2 | 96.5 | 3 | L | 3- | 17 | | 0.000 |
5/19 | at Weymouth (10-9) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | L | 11- | 13 | | -0.175 |
| | 85.5 | | | | | | 0.08 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/01 | H | Framingham | 7- | 2 | 5 | 4 | | -1.09 | 0.51 | |
4/03 | H | Needham | 1- | 13 | -12 | -5 | ––– | -1.09 | -7.11 | |
4/09 | A | Newton North | 7- | 11 | -4 | -4 | | 1.09 | -0.03 | |
4/11 | H | Milton | 11- | 8 | 3 | 4 | | -1.09 | -1.27 | |
4/14 | H | Brookline | 13- | 11 | 2 | 1 | | -1.09 | 1.28 | |
4/16 | A | Norwood | 5- | 15 | -10 | -5 | –– | 1.09 | -5.03 | |
4/22 | H | Arlington | 18- | 8 | 10 | -3 | +++ | -1.09 | 12.95 | |
4/24 | A | Norwell | 6- | 10 | -4 | -3 | | 1.09 | -0.90 | |
5/01 | A | Framingham | 11- | 4 | 7 | 2 | ++ | 1.09 | 4.70 | |
5/02 | A | Natick | 11- | 7 | 4 | 3 | | 1.09 | 1.13 | |
5/05 | A | Needham | 5- | 16 | -11 | -7 | – | 1.09 | -3.93 | |
5/07 | H | Dedham | 17- | 4 | 13 | 14 | | -1.09 | -0.81 | |
5/08 | H | Newton North | 4- | 6 | -2 | -2 | | -1.09 | -0.21 | |
5/12 | H | Wellesley | 11- | 10 | 1 | -4 | ++ | -1.09 | 4.66 | |
5/14 | A | Brookline | 7- | 9 | -2 | -1 | | 1.09 | -0.54 | |
5/15 | H | Weymouth | 9- | 12 | -3 | 0 | – | -1.09 | -2.53 | |
5/17 | A | Walpole | 3- | 17 | -14 | -10 | – | 1.09 | -3.52 | |
5/19 | A | Weymouth | 11- | 13 | -2 | -3 | | 1.09 | 0.65 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/03 | H | Needham | 1- | 13 | 2.00 |
4/16 | A | Norwood | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
4/22 | H | Arlington | 18- | 8 | 0.00 |
5/05 | A | Needham | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
5/07 | H | Dedham | 17- | 4 | 0.81 |
5/17 | A | Walpole | 3- | 17 | 4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.43 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 92. | | Natl CCR Rank | 549 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 91.65 | | Natl Power Rank | 549 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 77.15 | | Natl SOS Rank | 749 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.08 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1227 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.44 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1576 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -6.3 |
|
