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Brewster Bears (15-6)

Region: NY B Sec 1

State: NY

Coach: Mike Honey

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	PUTNAM VALLEY (9-11)	NY C Sec 1	92.6		W	18-	5		0.000
4/03	RYE HS (22-3)	NY C Sec 1	98.3	3	L	4-	5		-0.325
4/08	at John Jay-Cross River (18-6)	NY B Sec 1	99.2	1	L	6-	16		-0.100
4/10	at Fox Lane (4-14)	NY B Sec 1	89.6		W	13-	3		0.025
4/13	vs. Duxbury # (22-2)	MA 1	98.4		L	9-	13		-0.250
4/15	HENDRICK HUDSON (9-11)	NY B Sec 1	95.5		W	18-	8		0.075
4/17	MAHOPAC (12-9)	NY A Sec 1	96.5	9	W	12-	4		0.100
4/22	LAKELAND/PANAS (14-7)	NY A Sec 1	97.5	5	W	13-	6		0.175
4/24	at Somers (11-8)	NY B Sec 1	96.8	6	W	8-	7		0.175
4/26	NORTH ROCKLAND (13-7)	NY A Sec 1	96.5	7	W	11-	2		0.075
5/01	at Yorktown (20-4)	NY A Sec 1	99.1	2	L	10-	11		-0.175
5/03	HAUPPAUGE (10-8)	NY B Sec 11	96.0		W	9-	6		0.175
5/06	at Horace Greeley (8-8)	NY A Sec 1	95.5		W	10-	5		0.125
5/08	MAMARONECK (5-14)	NY A Sec 1	89.0		W	20-	8		0.000
5/13	at Pleasantville (8-12)	NY C Sec 1	92.0		W	13-	3		0.050
5/15	at Fairfield Prep (19-4)	CT L	97.4		L	9-	14		-0.225
5/17	SCARSDALE (8-10)	NY A Sec 1	92.2		W	15-	6		0.000
5/19	SUFFERN (8-12)	NY A Sec 1	93.1		W	10-	4		0.050
5/28	NYACK (10-9)	NY B Sec 1	89.9		W	15-	1		0.000
5/30	SOMERS (11-8)	NY B Sec 1	96.8	6	W	14-	8		0.125
6/05	vs. John Jay-Cross River # (18-6)	NY B Sec 1	99.2	1	L	2-	13		-0.125
# Neutral site			90.1						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Putnam Valley	18-	5	13	10	+	-1.08	2.84
4/03	H	Rye HS	4-	5	-1	3	––	-1.08	-4.11
4/08	A	John Jay-Cross River	6-	16	-10	-6	––	1.08	-4.17
4/10	A	Fox Lane	13-	3	10	9		1.08	1.16
4/13	N	Duxbury	9-	13	-4	0	–	0.00		-3.54
4/15	H	Hendrick Hudson	18-	8	10	7	+	-1.08	2.98
4/17	H	Mahopac	12-	4	8	6		-1.08	1.89
4/22	H	Lakeland/Panas	13-	6	7	3	+	-1.08	3.74
4/24	A	Somers	8-	7	1	3		1.08	-1.99
4/26	H	North Rockland	11-	2	9	7	+	-1.08	2.34
5/01	A	Yorktown	10-	11	-1	-3	+	1.08	2.21
5/03	H	Hauppauge	9-	6	3	3		-0.87		0.18
5/06	A	Horace Greeley	10-	5	5	5		1.08	-0.24
5/08	H	Mamaroneck	20-	8	12	12		-1.08	0.37
5/13	A	Pleasantville	13-	3	10	8	+	1.08	2.45
5/15	A	Fairfield Prep	9-	14	-5	-1	––	1.14		-4.49
5/17	H	Scarsdale	15-	6	9	11		-1.08	-1.50
5/19	H	Suffern	10-	4	6	8	–	-1.08	-2.40
5/28	H	Nyack	15-	1	14	14		-1.08	-0.15
5/30	H	Somers	14-	8	6	5		-1.08	0.84
6/05	N	John Jay-Cross River	2-	13	-11	-5	–––	0.00	-6.25
									0.00	-7.86

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Putnam Valley	18-	5	-2.84
4/08	A	John Jay-Cross River	6-	16	0.00
4/10	A	Fox Lane	13-	3	0.00
4/15	H	Hendrick Hudson	18-	8	0.00
5/08	H	Mamaroneck	20-	8	-0.37
5/13	A	Pleasantville	13-	3	0.00
5/28	H	Nyack	15-	1	0.15
6/05	N	John Jay-Cross River	2-	13	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	98.		Natl CCR Rank	72
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.99		Natl Power Rank	65
Natl SOS Rating	86.64		Natl SOS Rank	194
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1603
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	535
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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