| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 1 | State: MA | Coach: Steve Zella |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/01 | at Newton North (12-9) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | L | 4- | 8 | | -0.150 |
4/03 | WEYMOUTH (10-9) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | L | 6- | 11 | | -0.250 |
4/07 | MILTON (4-14) | MA 2 | 87.6 | | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.125 |
4/09 | at Needham (16-7) | MA 1 | 94.3 | | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.075 |
4/11 | at Norwood (16-6) | MA 2 | 93.5 | | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.125 |
4/14 | at Braintree (8-10) | MA 1 | 91.6 | | L | 11- | 13 | | -0.225 |
4/16 | WALPOLE (21-1) | MA 2 | 96.5 | 3 | L | 2- | 12 | | -0.050 |
4/18 | at Acton Boxborough (12-9) | MA 1 | 93.5 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.125 |
4/22 | NEWTON SOUTH (4-16) | MA 1 | 89.5 | | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.175 |
4/25 | WOBURN (8-10) | MA 1 | 89.8 | | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.150 |
4/29 | FRAMINGHAM (3-15) | MA 1 | 86.8 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.125 |
5/01 | NEWTON NORTH (12-9) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | W | 4- | 3 | | 0.275 |
5/05 | at Weymouth (10-9) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.200 |
5/07 | at Wellesley (18-5) | MA 2 | 94.4 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.125 |
5/09 | NEEDHAM (16-7) | MA 1 | 94.3 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.125 |
5/12 | NATICK (4-15) | MA 2 | 86.7 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.125 |
5/14 | BRAINTREE (8-10) | MA 1 | 91.6 | | W | 9- | 7 | | 0.225 |
5/16 | DEDHAM (0-15) | MA 3 | 75.8 | | W | 22- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/19 | at Framingham (3-15) | MA 1 | 86.8 | | L | 3- | 4 | | -0.325 |
5/22 | WESTWOOD (11-11) | MA 3 | 90.5 | | W | 7- | 3 | | 0.200 |
| | 85.0 | | | | | | -0.38 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/01 | A | Newton North | 4- | 8 | -4 | -4 | | 1.09 | -0.40 | |
4/03 | H | Weymouth | 6- | 11 | -5 | 0 | –– | -1.09 | -4.90 | |
4/07 | H | Milton | 10- | 6 | 4 | 5 | | -1.09 | -0.64 | |
4/09 | A | Needham | 5- | 10 | -5 | -7 | | 1.09 | 1.70 | |
4/11 | A | Norwood | 4- | 12 | -8 | -5 | – | 1.09 | -3.41 | |
4/14 | A | Braintree | 11- | 13 | -2 | -1 | | 1.09 | -1.28 | |
4/16 | H | Walpole | 2- | 12 | -10 | -8 | – | -1.09 | -2.07 | |
4/18 | A | Acton Boxborough | 6- | 9 | -3 | -5 | + | 1.09 | 2.13 | |
4/22 | H | Newton South | 8- | 6 | 2 | 3 | | -1.09 | -0.92 | |
4/25 | H | Woburn | 6- | 4 | 2 | 4 | – | -1.09 | -2.38 | |
4/29 | H | Framingham | 9- | 6 | 3 | 5 | | -1.09 | -1.86 | |
5/01 | H | Newton North | 4- | 3 | 1 | -1 | + | -1.09 | 2.42 | |
5/05 | A | Weymouth | 6- | 7 | -1 | -2 | | 1.09 | 1.28 | |
5/07 | A | Wellesley | 7- | 8 | -1 | -5 | ++ | 1.09 | 4.46 | |
5/09 | H | Needham | 6- | 9 | -3 | -5 | | -1.09 | 1.52 | |
5/12 | H | Natick | 10- | 5 | 5 | 5 | | -1.09 | -0.43 | |
5/14 | H | Braintree | 9- | 7 | 2 | 1 | | -1.09 | 0.54 | |
5/16 | H | Dedham | 22- | 2 | 20 | 14 | ++ | -1.09 | 5.82 | |
5/19 | A | Framingham | 3- | 4 | -1 | 3 | – | 1.09 | -3.68 | |
5/22 | H | Westwood | 7- | 3 | 4 | 2 | + | -1.09 | 2.11 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/16 | H | Walpole | 2- | 12 | 0.00 |
5/16 | H | Dedham | 22- | 2 | -5.82 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.29 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 572 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 91.34 | | Natl Power Rank | 572 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 76.44 | | Natl SOS Rank | 828 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.38 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2177 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.45 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1552 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 7.7 |
|
