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Broad Run Spartans (16-3)

Region: VA DullesState: VACoach: Phil Truiett

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/15NORTH STAFFORD (11-6)VA Comw87.6W16- 3 0.150  
3/18vs. Southlake Carroll # (5-15)TX 1 North80.6W16- 2 0.025  
3/18vs. Herndon # (5-9)VA Concord85.9W16- 2 0.150  
3/29WALTER JOHNSON (10-5)MD 43 West91.1W13- 5 0.250  
4/07at Freedom-South Riding (5-10)VA Dulles75.0W22- 7 0.000  
4/09DOMINION HS (6-10)VA Dulles81.77W15- 6 0.000  
4/14GEORGE MASON (14-2)VA Dulles85.35W19- 9 0.050  
4/16at Loudoun Valley (15-6)VA Cedar88.4W14- 9 0.275  
4/17at Briar Woods (7-6)VA Dulles79.1W21- 7 0.000  
4/24at Park View (0-11)VA Dulles62.7W24- 1 0.000  
4/26LOUDOUN COUNTY (5-8)VA Dulles78.6W19- 5 0.000  
4/30HERITAGE-LEESBURG (14-3)VA Dulles87.54L14-17 -0.350  
5/01at Potomac Falls (3-11)VA Dulles75.3W17- 3 0.000  
5/08LOUDOUN COUNTY (5-8)VA Dulles78.6W17- 4 0.000  
5/12GEORGE MASON (14-2)VA Dulles85.35W10- 6 0.050  
5/16vs. Heritage-Leesburg # (14-3)VA Dulles87.54W16-11 0.200  
5/19SALEM (14-3)VA RivRdg88.53W20-16 0.200  
5/21at Western Albemarle (14-6)VA Jeffsn91.21L8-14 -0.125  
5/31at Oakton (13-8)VA Concord94.5L6-14 -0.100  
# Neutral site 81.8     0.78  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/15HNorth Stafford16-313   4       +++-1.67       9.43
3/18NSouthlake Carroll16-214   9       ++0.00       5.08
3/18NHerndon16-214   4       +++0.00       10.37
3/29HWalter Johnson13-58   0       +++-1.22       8.37
4/07AFreedom-South Riding22-715   14       1.51       0.95
4/09HDominion HS15-69   10       -1.51       -0.88
4/14HGeorge Mason19-910   8       +-1.51       2.42
4/16ALoudoun Valley14-95   -1       ++1.67       5.55
4/17ABriar Woods21-714   11       +1.51       3.04
4/24APark View24-123   23       1.51       -0.38
4/26HLoudoun County19-514   14       -1.51       0.23
4/30HHeritage-Leesburg14-17-3   4       –––-1.51       -6.71
5/01APotomac Falls17-314   11       +1.51       2.54
5/08HLoudoun County17-413   14       -1.51       -0.77
5/12HGeorge Mason10-64   8       –-1.51       -3.58
5/16NHeritage-Leesburg16-115   2       +0.00       2.80
5/19HSalem20-164   2       -1.51       1.82
5/21AWestern Albemarle8-14-6   -5       1.51       -1.49
5/31AOakton6-14-8   -6       1.27       -1.72
         0.0037.09

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/15HNorth Stafford16-3-3.00
3/18NSouthlake Carroll16-2-4.00
3/18NHerndon16-2-4.00
4/07AFreedom-South Riding22-7-0.95
4/14HGeorge Mason19-90.00
4/17ABriar Woods21-7-3.04
4/24APark View24-10.38
4/26HLoudoun County19-5-0.23
5/01APotomac Falls17-3-2.54
5/08HLoudoun County17-40.77
10-goal correction: -0.87

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 89.   Natl CCR Rank 791
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 89.48   Natl Power Rank 791
Natl SOS Rating 71.41   Natl SOS Rank 1339
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.78   Natl Quality Win Rank 344
W-L Pct Rating 0.84   W-L Pct Rank 173
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 8.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 11-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 8.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.3



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