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Bartram Trail Bears (12-6)

Region: FL 3B Centrl

State: FL

Coach: Rockne Zeilman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/05	P.K. YONGE (2-5)	FL 3B Centrl	70.0		W	14-	2		0.000
2/06	MACLAY (15-4)	FL 1B Centrl	87.9		W	15-	5		0.325
2/11	at Nease (13-5)	FL 3B Centrl	92.2	5	L	2-	17		0.000
2/14	MENENDEZ (2-10)	FL 3B Centrl	77.4		W	6-	5	ot	0.150
2/19	at Bolles (11-6)	FL 2B Centrl	88.5	10	L	2-	15		-0.050
2/21	MATANZAS (12-4)	FL 4B Centrl	92.0	6	L	1-	15		-0.050
2/28	EPISCOPAL JACKSONVILLE (10-7)	FL 2B Centrl	87.3		L	1-	12		-0.175
3/06	at Fleming Island (5-7)	FL 3B Centrl	79.5		W	9-	8		0.250
3/12	at Sandalwood (3-9)	FL 2B Centrl	69.0		W	14-	2		0.000
3/15	at Flagler Palm Coast (2-13)	FL 4B Centrl	76.9		W	10-	6		0.250
3/17	at Oak Hall-Gainesville (4-7)	FL 3B Centrl	76.2		W	6-	4		0.150
3/18	PAXON (4-8)	FL 2B Centrl	72.5		W	15-	5		0.000
3/21	at Fletcher (8-5)	FL 2B Centrl	80.9		W	14-	10		0.225
3/26	at Hagerty (5-9)	FL 5B Centrl	77.5		W	9-	7		0.225
3/28	at Vero Beach (13-6)	FL Dist-9	75.6		L	4-	12		-0.425
3/29	at Sebastian River (4-8)	FL Dist-9	51.3		W	19-	6		0.000
3/31	vs. Fleming Island # (5-7)	FL 3B Centrl	79.5		W	10-	7		0.225
4/02	at Nease (13-5)	FL 3B Centrl	92.2	5	L	1-	9		0.000
# Neutral site			77.1						1.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/05	H	P.K. Yonge	14-	2	12	13		-1.48	-1.16
2/06	H	Maclay	15-	5	10	-3	+++	-1.48	12.95
2/11	A	Nease	2-	17	-15	-12	–	1.48	-3.21
2/14	H	Menendez	6-	5	1	4	–	-1.48	-3.44
2/19	A	Bolles	2-	15	-13	-8	––	1.48	-4.98
2/21	H	Matanzas	1-	15	-14	-8	––	-1.48	-5.68
2/28	H	Episcopal Jacksonville	1-	12	-11	-3	–––	-1.48	-8.06
3/06	A	Fleming Island	9-	8	1	0		1.48	1.22
3/12	A	Sandalwood	14-	2	12	12		1.48	0.37
3/15	A	Flagler Palm Coast	10-	6	4	0	+	1.48	3.56
3/17	A	Oak Hall-Gainesville	6-	4	2	4	–	1.48	-2.04
3/18	H	Paxon	15-	5	10	10		-1.48	0.48
3/21	A	Fletcher	14-	10	4	1	+	1.48	3.39
3/26	A	Hagerty	9-	7	2	1		1.48	1.08
3/28	A	Vero Beach	4-	12	-8	7	–––	1.15		15.49
3/29	A	Sebastian River	19-	6	13	32	–––	1.15		18.78
3/31	N	Fleming Island	10-	7	3	1		0.00	1.74
4/02	A	Nease	1-	9	-8	-12	+	1.48	3.79
									0.00	-34.27

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/05	H	P.K. Yonge	14-	2	1.16
2/06	H	Maclay	15-	5	0.00
2/11	A	Nease	2-	17	3.21
2/19	A	Bolles	2-	15	3.00
2/21	H	Matanzas	1-	15	4.00
2/28	H	Episcopal Jacksonville	1-	12	1.00
3/12	A	Sandalwood	14-	2	-0.37
3/18	H	Paxon	15-	5	-0.48
3/29	A	Sebastian River	19-	6	18.78
10-goal correction: 1.68

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1441
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.27		Natl Power Rank	1441
Natl SOS Rating	62.61		Natl SOS Rank	2190
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	197
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	680
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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