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Bullis Bulldogs (13-7)

Region: DC IAC

State: MD

Coach: Mike DelGrande

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/11	SEVERN (11-10)	MD A MIAA	95.3		L	1-	7		-0.100
3/13	at Flint Hill (14-3)	DC MAC	91.8		W	10-	3		0.300
3/20	at Sidwell Friends (4-12)	DC MAC	79.9		W	8-	2		0.000
3/22	ST MARYS RYKEN (11-7)	DC WCAC	94.0		W	5-	4		0.275
3/25	at Georgetown Prep (18-3)	DC IAC	99.1	4	L	1-	7		0.000
3/28	vs. Annapolis # (9-7)	MD 32 East	93.4		W	6-	5		0.300
3/29	at Severna Park (16-3)	MD 43 East	96.2		L	1-	4		-0.100
4/01	at Gonzaga (15-6)	DC WCAC	93.6		L	3-	4		-0.150
4/04	EPISCOPAL HS (7-12)	DC IAC	87.8		W	5-	3		0.125
4/08	THE HEIGHTS (11-8)	MD MILL	87.9		W	11-	4		0.125
4/11	ST STEPHEN/ST AGNES (8-12)	DC IAC	91.2		W	4-	3		0.250
4/14	at Oakton (13-8)	VA Concord	94.7		W	9-	5		0.350
4/15	ST ANDREWS EPISCOPAL (2-10)	DC MAC	74.0		W	17-	0		0.000
4/18	at Landon (18-4)	DC IAC	98.7	7	L	2-	7		-0.050
4/22	ST ALBANS (16-5)	DC IAC	95.8	9	L	4-	6		-0.150
4/26	at Potomac School (8-10)	DC MAC	86.5		W	13-	1		0.150
4/29	WHITMAN (8-6)	MD 43 West	89.1		W	7-	4		0.150
5/03	MERCERSBURG ACADEMY (2-12)	PA Indep	86.7		W	18-	1		0.100
5/07	ST STEPHEN/ST AGNES (8-12)	DC IAC	91.2		L	4-	8		-0.250
5/10	EPISCOPAL HS (7-12)	DC IAC	87.8		W	5-	3		0.125
# Neutral site			88.3						1.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	H	Severn	1-	7	-6	-6		-1.46	-0.47
3/13	A	Flint Hill	10-	3	7	-2	+++	1.59		8.77
3/20	A	Sidwell Friends	8-	2	6	10	––	1.59		-4.22
3/22	H	St Marys Ryken	5-	4	1	-1		-1.59		1.73
3/25	A	Georgetown Prep	1-	7	-6	-10	+	1.46	3.59
3/28	N	Annapolis	6-	5	1	-2	+	0.00		2.75
3/29	A	Severna Park	1-	4	-3	-6	+	1.19		2.76
4/01	A	Gonzaga	3-	4	-1	-4	+	1.59		2.57
4/04	H	Episcopal HS	5-	3	2	5	–	-1.46	-2.66
4/08	H	The Heights	11-	4	7	5		-1.59		1.59
4/11	H	St Stephen/St Agnes	4-	3	1	0		-1.46	0.99
4/14	A	Oakton	9-	5	4	-4	+++	1.24		8.30
4/15	H	St Andrews Episcopal	17-	0	17	19	–	-1.59		-2.24
4/18	A	Landon	2-	7	-5	-8	+	1.46	3.31
4/22	H	St Albans	4-	6	-2	-4		-1.46	1.90
4/26	A	Potomac School	13-	1	12	4	+++	1.59		8.41
4/29	H	Whitman	7-	4	3	4		-1.19		-0.80
5/03	H	Mercersburg Academy	18-	1	17	6	+++	-1.36		10.72
5/07	H	St Stephen/St Agnes	4-	8	-4	0	––	-1.46	-4.01
5/10	H	Episcopal HS	5-	3	2	5	–	-1.46	-2.66
									0.00	40.36

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	H	St Andrews Episcopal	17-	0	2.24
4/26	A	Potomac School	13-	1	-2.00
5/03	H	Mercersburg Academy	18-	1	-7.00
10-goal correction: -0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	544
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.67		Natl Power Rank	544
Natl SOS Rating	84.09		Natl SOS Rank	291
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	115
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	751
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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