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Detroit Catholic Cent Shamrocks (11-8)

Region: MI 1

State: MI

Coach: Dave Wilson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	FLINT POWERS (14-6)	MI 2	91.1		W	9-	7		0.125
3/29	EAST GRAND RAPIDS (16-4)	MI 2	94.8	2	W	10-	3		0.275
4/03	BIRMINGHAM-SEAHOLM (11-9)	MI 1	92.1	10	L	8-	11		-0.300
4/08	at Northville (6-13)	MI 1	82.0		W	13-	5		0.000
4/12	CULVER ACADEMY (17-5)	IN Indep	92.9		W	9-	4		0.225
4/13	WESTERN RESERVE ACAD (16-3)	OH 1 Indep	99.0		L	4-	14		-0.125
4/15	BROTHER RICE (23-0)	MI 1	99.1	1	L	7-	23		0.000
4/17	at Univ Detroit Jesuit (13-9)	MI 1	93.9	4	W	12-	9		0.400
4/22	at Cranbrook (16-6)	MI 2	92.5	7	L	12-	13	ot	-0.275
4/26	at Toledo St John's (12-8)	OH 1 Reg 1	92.1		L	5-	8		-0.225
4/29	at De La Salle (10-8)	MI 2	92.0		W	9-	5		0.250
4/30	OL ST MARY'S (9-9)	MI 2	90.0		W	16-	9		0.100
5/03	FOREST HILLS CENTRAL (18-4)	MI 2	93.7	5	L	5-	10		-0.250
5/06	UNIV DETROIT JESUIT (13-9)	MI 1	93.9	4	L	8-	11		-0.175
5/13	TROY ATHENS (9-9)	MI 1	91.5		W	15-	8		0.150
5/16	at Ann Arbor Huron (10-8)	MI 1	89.7		W	12-	8		0.125
5/22	WATERFORD (10-8)	MI 1	81.7		W	21-	4		0.000
5/28	vs. Walled Lake Northern # (13-6)	MI 1	86.0		W	17-	3		0.000
5/30	vs. Univ Detroit Jesuit # (13-9)	MI 1	93.9	4	L	8-	17		-0.125
# Neutral site			86.0						0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Flint Powers	9-	7	2	5	–	-1.42	-3.42
3/29	H	East Grand Rapids	10-	3	7	-1	+++	-1.42	7.53
4/03	H	Birmingham-Seaholm	8-	11	-3	2	––	-1.42	-4.81
4/08	A	Northville	13-	5	8	11	–	1.42	-2.96
4/12	H	Culver Academy	9-	4	5	1	++	-1.08		4.13
4/13	H	Western Reserve Acad	4-	14	-10	-5	––	-1.35		-5.08
4/15	H	Brother Rice	7-	23	-16	-11	––	-1.42	-5.08
4/17	A	Univ Detroit Jesuit	12-	9	3	-6	+++	1.42	9.11
4/22	A	Cranbrook	12-	13	-1	1		1.42	-1.65
4/26	A	Toledo St John's	5-	8	-3	-1	–	1.35		-2.32
4/29	A	De La Salle	9-	5	4	0	+	1.42	3.71
4/30	H	OL St Mary's	16-	9	7	6		-1.42	1.46
5/03	H	Forest Hills Central	5-	10	-5	0	––	-1.42	-5.28
5/06	H	Univ Detroit Jesuit	8-	11	-3	-3		-1.42	0.27
5/13	H	Troy Athens	15-	8	7	4	+	-1.42	2.55
5/16	A	Ann Arbor Huron	12-	8	4	5		1.42	-0.70
5/22	H	Waterford	21-	4	17	16		-1.42	0.53
5/28	N	Walled Lake Northern	17-	3	14	11	+	0.00	3.05
5/30	N	Univ Detroit Jesuit	8-	17	-9	-5	––	0.00	-4.31
									0.00	-3.27

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/13	H	Western Reserve Acad	4-	14	0.00
4/15	H	Brother Rice	7-	23	5.08
5/22	H	Waterford	21-	4	-0.53
5/28	N	Walled Lake Northern	17-	3	-3.05
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	441
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.73		Natl Power Rank	441
Natl SOS Rating	78.55		Natl SOS Rank	635
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	1087
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	1018
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.3


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