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Chambersburg Trojans (13-6)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: Paul Flohr

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Lampeter-Strasburg (18-7)	PA LL04	91.7	6	L	6-	9		-0.150
3/29	SOUTH-WESTERN (11-6)	PA York 1	88.9	9	W	8-	7		0.250
4/01	at St James (6-10)	DC MAC	82.8		W	6-	3		0.150
4/03	at Harrisburg Academy (1-14)	PA Mid 1	74.9		W	20-	6		0.000
4/05	COCALICO (9-6)	PA LL04	87.7		L	12-	13		-0.275
4/08	at Spring Grove (10-6)	PA York 1	83.9		W	11-	6		0.125
4/11	at Bishop McDevitt (4-12)	PA Mid 1	78.5		W	9-	3		0.050
4/15	at Cumberland Valley (14-5)	PA Mid 1	92.6	4	L	5-	15		-0.125
4/18	at State College (7-10)	PA CSNLL	77.0		W	12-	4		0.000
4/22	NORTHERN YORK BLACK (8-6)	PA Mid 1	86.2		L	6-	7		-0.325
4/24	CENTRAL DAUPHIN (7-9)	PA Mid 1	82.6		W	16-	5		0.100
4/26	RED LION (9-7)	PA York 1	85.2		W	13-	12		0.225
4/29	PALMYRA (9-9)	PA Mid 1	83.1		W	7-	6	ot	0.125
5/01	at Lower Dauphin (6-10)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	14-	7		0.100
5/07	HERSHEY (9-7)	PA Mid 1	84.4		W	13-	3		0.175
5/09	CENTRAL DAUPHIN EAST (0-14)	PA Mid 1	71.9		W	22-	2		0.000
5/13	CARLISLE (14-7)	PA Mid 1	89.5	7	L	8-	9		-0.225
5/16	MERCERSBURG ACADEMY (2-12)	PA Indep	86.8		W	14-	2		0.200
5/21	at Hempfield (13-12)	PA LL04	92.2	5	L	5-	15		-0.075
			84.2						0.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Lampeter-Strasburg	6-	9	-3	-4		0.28	1.37
3/29	H	South-Western	8-	7	1	0		-0.28	0.96
4/01	A	St James	6-	3	3	4		1.01		-1.32
4/03	A	Harrisburg Academy	20-	6	14	11	+	0.28	2.72
4/05	H	Cocalico	12-	13	-1	1	–	-0.28	-2.30
4/08	A	Spring Grove	11-	6	5	5		0.28	0.22
4/11	A	Bishop McDevitt	9-	3	6	8	–	0.28	-2.04
4/15	A	Cumberland Valley	5-	15	-10	-5	––	0.28	-5.32
4/18	A	State College	12-	4	8	10	–	0.28	-2.39
4/22	H	Northern York Black	6-	7	-1	3	–	-0.28	-3.59
4/24	H	Central Dauphin	16-	5	11	6	++	-0.28	5.25
4/26	H	Red Lion	13-	12	1	1		-0.28	-0.33
4/29	H	Palmyra	7-	6	1	5	–	-0.28	-3.81
5/01	A	Lower Dauphin	14-	7	7	6		0.28	1.05
5/07	H	Hershey	13-	3	10	3	+++	-0.28	7.10
5/09	H	Central Dauphin East	22-	2	20	16	++	-0.28	4.34
5/13	H	Carlisle	8-	9	-1	-1		-0.28	-0.12
5/16	H	Mercersburg Academy	14-	2	12	2	+++	-0.77		9.85
5/21	A	Hempfield	5-	15	-10	-7	–	0.28	-3.12
									0.00	8.54

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	A	Harrisburg Academy	20-	6	-2.72
4/15	A	Cumberland Valley	5-	15	0.00
4/24	H	Central Dauphin	16-	5	-1.00
5/07	H	Hershey	13-	3	0.00
5/09	H	Central Dauphin East	22-	2	-4.34
5/16	H	Mercersburg Academy	14-	2	-2.00
5/21	A	Hempfield	5-	15	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.53

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	931
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.16		Natl Power Rank	931
Natl SOS Rating	75.20		Natl SOS Rank	945
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	838
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	658
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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