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Central Bucks South Titans (9-11)

Region: PA SubNat

State: PA

Coach: Daniel Lorenz

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	at Central Bucks West (12-6)	PA SubCont	94.8		L	3-	9		-0.125
3/25	CENTRAL BUCKS EAST (13-4)	PA SubCont	96.4		L	3-	7		-0.150
3/26	at Souderton (4-14)	PA SubCont	88.6		W	13-	11		0.125
3/28	at Pennsbury (13-7)	PA SubNat	93.5		W	8-	4		0.325
3/31	at Council Rock South (6-14)	PA SubCont	89.4		W	12-	7		0.200
4/08	at Truman (3-15)	PA SubNat	87.4		W	15-	5		0.050
4/11	PENNRIDGE (6-14)	PA SubNat	89.3		W	10-	9		0.125
4/14	ARCHBISHOP WOOD (17-7)	PA Cathol	96.1		L	3-	13		-0.075
4/15	at Abington (16-6)	PA SubNat	96.7		L	4-	11		-0.025
4/17	at Council Rock North (11-7)	PA SubCont	92.8		L	9-	12		-0.200
4/22	PENNSBURY (13-7)	PA SubNat	93.5		L	9-	13		-0.225
4/24	at Neshaminy (11-7)	PA SubNat	93.0		W	7-	6	ot	0.325
4/25	at North Penn (7-10)	PA SubNat	91.6		W	9-	5		0.275
4/29	NESHAMINY (11-7)	PA SubNat	93.0		L	5-	9		-0.225
5/01	at Easton (14-5)	PA PVLL-LV	95.1		L	5-	8		-0.125
5/05	TRUMAN (3-15)	PA SubNat	87.4		W	18-	6		0.000
5/06	at Pennridge (6-14)	PA SubNat	89.3		W	13-	9		0.175
5/09	ABINGTON (16-6)	PA SubNat	96.7		L	6-	14		-0.075
5/13	at Holy Ghost Prep (12-7)	PA Noeast	92.8		L	9-	17		-0.175
5/14	NORTH PENN (7-10)	PA SubNat	91.6		L	12-	13		-0.275
			84.4						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	Central Bucks West	3-	9	-6	-5		1.27	-0.97
3/25	H	Central Bucks East	3-	7	-4	-4		-1.27	0.16
3/26	A	Souderton	13-	11	2	5	–	1.27	-3.05
3/28	A	Pennsbury	8-	4	4	-3	+++	1.27	7.06
3/31	A	Council Rock South	12-	7	5	2	+	1.27	3.08
4/08	A	Truman	15-	5	10	8	+	1.27	2.21
4/11	H	Pennridge	10-	9	1	5	––	-1.27	-4.22
4/14	H	Archbishop Wood	3-	13	-10	-7	–	-1.27	-3.49
4/15	A	Abington	4-	11	-7	-9	+	1.27	2.14
4/17	A	Council Rock North	9-	12	-3	-2		1.27	-0.70
4/22	H	Pennsbury	9-	13	-4	-1	–	-1.27	-3.47
4/24	A	Neshaminy	7-	6	1	-3	++	1.27	4.13
4/25	A	North Penn	9-	5	4	-1	++	1.27	5.10
4/29	H	Neshaminy	5-	9	-4	-1	–	-1.27	-3.40
5/01	A	Easton	5-	8	-3	-5		1.27	1.73
5/05	H	Truman	18-	6	12	10		-1.27	1.68
5/06	A	Pennridge	13-	9	4	3		1.27	1.31
5/09	H	Abington	6-	14	-8	-7		-1.27	-1.39
5/13	A	Holy Ghost Prep	9-	17	-8	-3	––	1.27	-5.49
5/14	H	North Penn	12-	13	-1	1	–	-1.27	-2.43
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	A	Truman	15-	5	0.00
4/14	H	Archbishop Wood	3-	13	0.00
5/05	H	Truman	18-	6	-1.68
10-goal correction: -0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	542
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.60		Natl Power Rank	542
Natl SOS Rating	75.32		Natl SOS Rank	934
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1589
W-L Pct Rating	0.45		W-L Pct Rank	1562
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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