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Charlotte Cou Day Buccaneers (21-7)

Region: NC Prvate

State: NC

Coach: Brad Touma

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
2/26	at Charlotte Catholic (20-0)	NC 3A/2A	95.1		L	11-	12	-0.225
2/29	MARVIN RIDGE (2-12)	NC 3A/2A	68.5		W	14-	1	0.000
3/05	FORT MILL (9-13)	SC NoEast	75.7		W	11-	2	0.000
3/07	CHARLOTTE PROVIDENCE (13-6)	NC 4A	88.7		L	13-	14	-0.450
3/08	NORFOLK ACADEMY (21-2)	VA 1 Tidewtr	98.2		W	13-	9	0.275
3/11	CHARLOTTE MYERS PARK (9-10)	NC 4A	84.3		W	12-	6	0.000
3/14	at Chapel Hill (20-2)	NC 4A	95.2		L	11-	16	-0.200
3/16	vs. The Woodlands # (12-7)	TX 1 South	90.7		W	6-	4	0.150
3/17	vs. Lovett # (16-4)	GA Area08	95.4		L	8-	10	-0.250
3/18	vs. Gilman # (18-1)	MD A MIAA	99.9		L	5-	15	-0.125
3/28	RAVENSCROFT SCHOOL (5-11)	NC Prvate	83.1	8	W	12-	4	0.000
3/29	HILTON HEAD HS (8-6)	SC SoEast	81.8		W	13-	4	0.000
4/01	FORSYTH COU DAY (7-10)	NC Prvate	82.6	10	W	12-	3	0.000
4/04	at Christ School (10-5)	NC Prvate	90.6	5	L	8-	9	-0.350
4/05	GREENSBORO DAY (6-8)	NC Prvate	81.6		W	15-	2	0.000
4/07	POPE (16-3)	GA Area08	95.3		L	7-	9	-0.275
4/11	at Durham Academy (12-5)	NC Prvate	90.9	4	W	8-	3	0.175
4/12	WEDDINGTON (9-7)	NC 4A	85.7		W	13-	4	0.000
4/15	PROVIDENCE DAY (13-6)	NC Prvate	93.5	2	W	9-	3	0.175
4/18	CHARLOTTE LATIN (16-7)	NC Prvate	92.8	3	W	11-	8	0.125
4/19	CHARLOTTE NORTH MECK (5-8)	NC CHSCLC	85.3		W	10-	6	0.000
4/24	CHARLOTTE MYERS PARK (9-10)	NC 4A	84.3		W	13-	10	0.000
4/29	at Cannon School (7-9)	NC Prvate	84.0	7	W	13-	4	0.050
5/02	at Providence Day (13-6)	NC Prvate	93.5	2	W	8-	7	0.250
5/06	at Charlotte Latin (16-7)	NC Prvate	92.8	3	W	13-	9	0.200
5/13	RAVENSCROFT SCHOOL (5-11)	NC Prvate	83.1	8	W	14-	6	0.000
5/15	DURHAM ACADEMY (12-5)	NC Prvate	90.9	4	W	11-	3	0.100
5/17	at Charlotte Latin (16-7)	NC Prvate	92.8	3	W	19-	7	1.200
# Neutral site			88.7					0.83

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/26	A	Charlotte Catholic	11-	12	-1	-1		1.45		0.36
2/29	H	Marvin Ridge	14-	1	13	28	–––	-1.45		-15.12
3/05	H	Fort Mill	11-	2	9	21	–––	-1.28		-11.82
3/07	H	Charlotte Providence	13-	14	-1	8	–––	-1.45		-8.92
3/08	H	Norfolk Academy	13-	9	4	-1	++	-2.14		4.81
3/11	H	Charlotte Myers Park	12-	6	6	12	–––	-1.45		-6.38
3/14	A	Chapel Hill	11-	16	-5	-2	–	1.45		-3.50
3/16	N	The Woodlands	6-	4	2	4	–	0.00		-2.48
3/17	N	Lovett	8-	10	-2	0		0.00		-1.75
3/18	N	Gilman	5-	15	-10	-5	––	0.00		-5.30
3/28	H	Ravenscroft School	12-	4	8	12	––	-1.56	-4.42
3/29	H	Hilton Head HS	13-	4	9	15	––	-1.28		-5.67
4/01	H	Forsyth Cou Day	12-	3	9	13	––	-1.56	-4.01
4/04	A	Christ School	8-	9	-1	4	––	1.56	-4.72
4/05	H	Greensboro Day	15-	2	13	14		-1.56	-0.94
4/07	H	Pope	7-	9	-2	1	–	-1.20		-3.13
4/11	A	Durham Academy	8-	3	5	3		1.56	1.80
4/12	H	Weddington	13-	4	9	11		-1.45		-1.92
4/15	H	Providence Day	9-	3	6	3	+	-1.56	2.64
4/18	H	Charlotte Latin	11-	8	3	5		-1.56	-1.92
4/19	H	Charlotte North Meck	10-	6	4	12	–––	-2.28		-8.14
4/24	H	Charlotte Myers Park	13-	10	3	12	–––	-1.45		-9.38
4/29	A	Cannon School	13-	4	9	8		1.56	1.16
5/02	A	Providence Day	8-	7	1	0		1.56	0.76
5/06	A	Charlotte Latin	13-	9	4	2	+	1.56	2.19
5/13	H	Ravenscroft School	14-	6	8	12	––	-1.56	-4.42
5/15	H	Durham Academy	11-	3	8	6		-1.56	1.69
5/17	A	Charlotte Latin	19-	7	12	2	+++	1.56	10.19
									0.00	-78.35

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/29	H	Marvin Ridge	14-	1	15.12
3/18	N	Gilman	5-	15	0.00
4/05	H	Greensboro Day	15-	2	0.94
5/17	A	Charlotte Latin	19-	7	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.50

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.	Natl CCR Rank	237
Natl Poll Vote	n/a	Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.20	Natl Power Rank	237
Natl SOS Rating	83.96	Natl SOS Rank	298
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.83	Natl Quality Win Rank	336
W-L Pct Rating	0.75	W-L Pct Rank	428
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	21-7	Ave Goal diff (all )	4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	7-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	11-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-1	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	9.3