| Region: OH 2 Reg 4 | State: OH | Coach: Scott Mapes |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/01 | at Colerain (1-8) | OH 4 South | 76.8 | | W | 12- | 2 | | 0.075 |
4/05 | at Watterson (4-14) | OH 2 Reg 3 | 81.9 | | W | 13- | 8 | | 0.225 |
4/10 | MILFORD (13-6) | OH 4 South | 86.9 | | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.275 |
4/15 | FENWICK (9-5) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 86.0 | 10 | L | 10- | 11 | ot | -0.275 |
4/17 | KINGS (3-11) | OH 1 Reg 4 | 82.5 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.125 |
4/19 | CINCINNATI SYCAMORE (19-4) | OH 1 Reg 4 | 95.5 | | L | 4- | 15 | | -0.050 |
4/24 | WYOMING (3-6) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 77.9 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/26 | GRANVILLE (14-4) | OH 2 Reg 3 | 88.5 | 5 | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.300 |
4/29 | WILMINGTON (2-11) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 73.3 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/02 | at Turpin (10-6) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 87.2 | 7 | L | 9- | 12 | | -0.150 |
5/08 | at Cincinnati Indian Hill (11-7) | OH 1 Reg 4 | 94.0 | | L | 5- | 12 | | 0.000 |
5/10 | at Loveland (19-5) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 90.1 | 4 | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.050 |
5/13 | MARIEMONT (13-6) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 90.6 | 2 | L | 5- | 18 | | -0.125 |
5/15 | SUMMIT COUNTRY DAY (4-14) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 81.9 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.175 |
5/17 | at Seven Hills (6-9) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 80.7 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.150 |
5/27 | at Fenwick (9-5) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 86.0 | 10 | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.300 |
5/29 | at Mariemont (13-6) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 90.6 | 2 | L | 4- | 11 | | -0.025 |
| | 82.6 | | | | | | 0.40 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/01 | A | Colerain | 12- | 2 | 10 | 7 | + | 1.74 | | 2.94 |
4/05 | A | Watterson | 13- | 8 | 5 | 1 | ++ | 1.74 | 4.45 | |
4/10 | H | Milford | 6- | 15 | -9 | 1 | ––– | -1.74 | | -9.51 |
4/15 | H | Fenwick | 10- | 11 | -1 | 1 | – | -1.74 | -2.25 | |
4/17 | H | Kings | 11- | 7 | 4 | 5 | | -1.51 | | -0.61 |
4/19 | H | Cincinnati Sycamore | 4- | 15 | -11 | -8 | – | -1.51 | | -2.69 |
4/24 | H | Wyoming | 14- | 4 | 10 | 11 | | -1.74 | -1.29 | |
4/26 | H | Granville | 6- | 5 | 1 | -2 | + | -1.74 | 2.80 | |
4/29 | H | Wilmington | 16- | 2 | 14 | 17 | – | -1.74 | -3.33 | |
5/02 | A | Turpin | 9- | 12 | -3 | -4 | | 1.74 | 1.37 | |
5/08 | A | Cincinnati Indian Hill | 5- | 12 | -7 | -10 | + | 1.51 | | 2.89 |
5/10 | A | Loveland | 4- | 12 | -8 | -8 | | 1.74 | 0.29 | |
5/13 | H | Mariemont | 5- | 18 | -13 | -5 | ––– | -1.74 | -7.71 | |
5/15 | H | Summit Country Day | 11- | 8 | 3 | 3 | | -1.74 | 0.47 | |
5/17 | A | Seven Hills | 11- | 8 | 3 | 4 | | 1.74 | -0.84 | |
5/27 | A | Fenwick | 8- | 6 | 2 | -2 | ++ | 1.74 | 4.24 | |
5/29 | A | Mariemont | 4- | 11 | -7 | -9 | | 1.74 | 1.78 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -6.98 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/01 | A | Colerain | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
4/19 | H | Cincinnati Sycamore | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
4/24 | H | Wyoming | 14- | 4 | 1.29 |
4/29 | H | Wilmington | 16- | 2 | 3.33 |
5/13 | H | Mariemont | 5- | 18 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.51 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 86. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1259 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 85.64 | | Natl Power Rank | 1259 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 72.08 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1268 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.40 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 725 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.53 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1250 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
| 
