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Central Dauphin Rams (7-9)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: Mike McLarnon

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	at Lewisburg (10-8)	PA CSNLL	79.3		W	7-	2		0.125
3/27	WARWICK (17-6)	PA LL04	93.4	3	L	4-	14		0.000
3/29	at Hershey (9-7)	PA Mid 1	84.4		L	3-	14		-0.175
4/01	at Cumberland Valley (14-5)	PA Mid 1	92.6	4	L	3-	14		0.000
4/03	at Lampeter-Strasburg (18-7)	PA LL04	91.7	6	L	3-	12		0.000
4/08	EPHRATA (8-12)	PA LL04	82.6		L	7-	8		-0.250
4/10	HARRISBURG ACADEMY (1-14)	PA Mid 1	74.9		W	14-	7		0.100
4/15	PALMYRA (9-9)	PA Mid 1	83.1		W	9-	8		0.275
4/17	at Northern York Black (8-6)	PA Mid 1	86.2		W	8-	7	ot	0.325
4/22	PENN MANOR (12-9)	PA LL04	89.5	8	L	9-	13		-0.075
4/24	at Chambersburg (13-6)	PA Mid 1	88.2	10	L	5-	16		-0.100
4/29	at Carlisle (14-7)	PA Mid 1	89.5	7	L	5-	10		-0.075
5/06	BISHOP MCDEVITT (4-12)	PA Mid 1	78.5		W	11-	6		0.175
5/08	at Lancaster Cou Day (12-3)	PA LL04	87.1		L	5-	7		-0.150
5/13	CENTRAL DAUPHIN EAST (0-14)	PA Mid 1	71.9		W	11-	2		0.000
5/15	LOWER DAUPHIN (6-10)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	7-	6		0.225
			84.8						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	Lewisburg	7-	2	5	5		0.28	0.25
3/27	H	Warwick	4-	14	-10	-10		-0.28	-0.50
3/29	A	Hershey	3-	14	-11	-3	–––	0.28	-7.87
4/01	A	Cumberland Valley	3-	14	-11	-10		0.28	-0.85
4/03	A	Lampeter-Strasburg	3-	12	-9	-10		0.28	0.83
4/08	H	Ephrata	7-	8	-1	0		-0.28	-0.87
4/10	H	Harrisburg Academy	14-	7	7	6		-0.28	0.62
4/15	H	Palmyra	9-	8	1	-1		-0.28	1.65
4/17	A	Northern York Black	8-	7	1	-3	++	0.28	4.44
4/22	H	Penn Manor	9-	13	-4	-7	+	-0.28	2.59
4/24	A	Chambersburg	5-	16	-11	-6	––	0.28	-5.25
4/29	A	Carlisle	5-	10	-5	-7		0.28	1.90
5/06	H	Bishop McDevitt	11-	6	5	3		-0.28	1.86
5/08	A	Lancaster Cou Day	5-	7	-2	-4	+	0.28	2.44
5/13	H	Central Dauphin East	11-	2	9	10		-0.28	-1.19
5/15	H	Lower Dauphin	7-	6	1	1		-0.28	-0.05
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Warwick	4-	14	0.00
3/29	A	Hershey	3-	14	1.00
4/01	A	Cumberland Valley	3-	14	1.00
4/24	A	Chambersburg	5-	16	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1562
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.61		Natl Power Rank	1562
Natl SOS Rating	76.31		Natl SOS Rank	842
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	736
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1646
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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