| Conference: D2 | Region: CA NCLA-E | State: CA | Coach: Mike Messersmith |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/26 | at Gold Country (6-8) | CA NCLA-E | 71.2 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.150 |
3/01 | at Redding (1-9) | CA NCLA-E | 65.5 | | W | 11- | 5 | | 0.100 |
3/09 | at Chico (10-4) | CA NCLA-E | 81.9 | 7 | L | 5- | 6 | ot | -0.175 |
3/11 | at Sierra Foothills (0-11) | CA NCLA-E | 56.2 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/15 | ORANGEVALE (4-10) | CA NCLA-E | 67.3 | | W | 14- | 11 | | 0.125 |
3/29 | at Casa Grande (10-7) | CA NCLA-N | 78.7 | 10 | L | 6- | 10 | | -0.200 |
4/05 | REDDING (1-9) | CA NCLA-E | 65.5 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.100 |
4/12 | vs. Rancho Cotati # (5-11) | CA NCLA-N | 69.5 | | W | 7- | 2 | | 0.125 |
4/12 | vs. Santa Rosa # (13-2) | CA NCLA-N | 83.9 | 5 | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.150 |
4/13 | vs. Palo Alto (THLC) # (9-8) | CA NCLA-S | 78.5 | | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.225 |
4/16 | at Orangevale (4-10) | CA NCLA-E | 67.3 | | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.150 |
4/19 | at Stockton (7-4) | CA NCLA-E | 74.6 | | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.200 |
4/26 | GOLD COUNTRY (6-8) | CA NCLA-E | 71.2 | | W | 11- | 4 | | 0.150 |
4/30 | SIERRA FOOTHILLS (0-11) | CA NCLA-E | 56.2 | | W | 17- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/10 | at West Valley (18-0) | CA NCLA-S | 91.2 | 1 | L | 3- | 18 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 76.7 | | | | | | 0.35 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/26 | A | Gold Country | 13- | 6 | 7 | 4 | + | 0.34 | 3.29 | |
3/01 | A | Redding | 11- | 5 | 6 | 6 | | 0.34 | 0.22 | |
3/09 | A | Chico | 5- | 6 | -1 | -3 | | 0.34 | 1.93 | |
3/11 | A | Sierra Foothills | 17- | 2 | 15 | 14 | | 0.34 | 0.89 | |
3/15 | H | Orangevale | 14- | 11 | 3 | 5 | – | -0.34 | -2.01 | |
3/29 | A | Casa Grande | 6- | 10 | -4 | -2 | | 0.34 | -1.86 | |
4/05 | H | Redding | 11- | 6 | 5 | 6 | | -0.34 | -1.47 | |
4/12 | N | Rancho Cotati | 7- | 2 | 5 | 5 | | 0.00 | 0.09 | |
4/12 | N | Santa Rosa | 5- | 7 | -2 | -4 | + | 0.00 | 2.20 | |
4/13 | N | Palo Alto (THLC) | 6- | 15 | -9 | -1 | ––– | 0.00 | -7.80 | |
4/16 | A | Orangevale | 14- | 8 | 6 | 4 | | 0.34 | 1.67 | |
4/19 | A | Stockton | 8- | 5 | 3 | 2 | | 0.34 | 1.19 | |
4/26 | H | Gold Country | 11- | 4 | 7 | 4 | + | -0.34 | 2.60 | |
4/30 | H | Sierra Foothills | 17- | 0 | 17 | 15 | + | -0.34 | 2.21 | |
5/10 | A | West Valley | 3- | 18 | -15 | -12 | – | 0.34 | -3.15 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/11 | A | Sierra Foothills | 17- | 2 | -0.89 |
4/30 | H | Sierra Foothills | 17- | 0 | -2.21 |
5/10 | A | West Valley | 3- | 18 | 3.15 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.00 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 77. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2081 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 77.61 | | Natl Power Rank | 2081 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 61.65 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2275 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.35 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 777 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.67 | | W-L Pct Rank | 665 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -8.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -5.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 3-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.0 |
| 
