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Cedar Ridge Red Wolves (11-7)

Region: NC 3A/2A

State: NC

Coach: Pat Kavanaugh

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	NORTHEAST GUILFORD (2-15)	NC 3A/2A	63.4		W	17-	0		0.000
3/03	CARDINAL GIBBONS (16-5)	NC 3A/2A	87.8	9	L	2-	14		-0.100
3/11	at Carrboro (3-13)	NC 3A/2A	68.2		W	5-	3		0.125
3/14	at Durham School-Arts (2-2)	NC Indep	71.2		W	9-	2		0.125
3/18	EASTERN GUILFORD (2-13)	NC 3A/2A	67.7		W	12-	2		0.000
3/26	at Wilmington Hoggard (17-5)	NC 4A	88.0	8	L	2-	13		0.000
3/28	at Wilmington Laney (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		L	3-	7		-0.100
4/02	at Hillsborough Orange (1-13)	NC 3A/2A	67.0		W	8-	5		0.075
4/09	at SouthEast Guilford (15-5)	NC 3A/2A	81.6		L	5-	6	ot	-0.125
4/11	TRITON (7-9)	NC 3A/2A	74.7		W	10-	5		0.175
4/15	CARRBORO (3-13)	NC 3A/2A	68.2		W	10-	3		0.050
4/17	at Cardinal Gibbons (16-5)	NC 3A/2A	87.8	9	L	2-	11		-0.025
4/21	at SouthWest Guilford (13-8)	NC 3A/2A	75.5		L	2-	7		-0.275
4/23	at Northern Durham (1-13)	NC 4A	73.2		W	6-	3		0.225
5/01	HILLSBOROUGH ORANGE (1-13)	NC 3A/2A	67.0		W	17-	0		0.025
5/02	at Triton (7-9)	NC 3A/2A	74.7		W	6-	5	ot	0.225
5/06	BISHOP MCGUINNESS (7-8)	NC 3A/2A	75.0		W	8-	4		0.175
5/09	at Charlotte Catholic (20-0)	NC 3A/2A	95.1	2	L	4-	22		0.000
			78.7						0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	H	NorthEast Guilford	17-	0	17	15	+	-1.35	2.38
3/03	H	Cardinal Gibbons	2-	14	-12	-6	––	-1.35	-5.55
3/11	A	Carrboro	5-	3	2	5	–	1.35	-2.97
3/14	A	Durham School-Arts	9-	2	7	5	+	1.35	2.48
3/18	H	Eastern Guilford	12-	2	10	12		-1.35	-1.54
3/26	A	Wilmington Hoggard	2-	13	-11	-10		1.35	-1.09
3/28	A	Wilmington Laney	3-	7	-4	-6	+	1.35	2.27
4/02	A	Hillsborough Orange	8-	5	3	7	–	1.35	-3.57
4/09	A	SouthEast Guilford	5-	6	-1	-5	+	1.35	3.81
4/11	H	Triton	10-	5	5	3		-1.35	1.59
4/15	H	Carrboro	10-	3	7	8		-1.35	-0.66
4/17	A	Cardinal Gibbons	2-	11	-9	-9		1.35	0.14
4/21	A	SouthWest Guilford	2-	7	-5	1	––	1.35	-5.57
4/23	A	Northern Durham	6-	3	3	1	+	1.35	2.05
5/01	H	Hillsborough Orange	17-	0	17	9	+++	-1.35	7.74
5/02	A	Triton	6-	5	1	1		1.35	0.28
5/06	H	Bishop McGuinness	8-	4	4	3		-1.35	0.66
5/09	A	Charlotte Catholic	4-	22	-18	-16	–	1.35	-2.46
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/29	H	NorthEast Guilford	17-	0	-2.38
3/03	H	Cardinal Gibbons	2-	14	2.00
3/18	H	Eastern Guilford	12-	2	1.54
3/26	A	Wilmington Hoggard	2-	13	1.00
5/01	H	Hillsborough Orange	17-	0	-7.00
5/09	A	Charlotte Catholic	4-	22	2.46
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	1991
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.17		Natl Power Rank	1991
Natl SOS Rating	65.51		Natl SOS Rank	1926
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.57		Natl Quality Win Rank	557
W-L Pct Rating	0.61		W-L Pct Rank	905
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-18.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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