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Catalina Foothills Falcons (5-7)

Region: AZ 2 South

State: AZ

Coach: Blake Shaffer

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/09	PINNACLE (2-10)	AZ 2 North	71.5	9	W	17-	9		0.175
2/16	PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (6-7)	AZ 2 North	79.2	5	W	1-	0		0.375
3/05	at Tucson Tanque Verde (13-2)	AZ 2 South	86.7	2	L	9-	20		-0.025
3/13	ORO VALLEY (0-12)	AZ 2 South	62.5		W	17-	2		0.000
3/15	at Horizon (7-6)	AZ 2 North	77.2	6	L	12-	14		-0.175
3/22	at Oro Valley (0-12)	AZ 2 South	62.5		W	14-	1		0.000
3/26	SALPOINTE CATHOLIC (9-5)	AZ 2 South	79.6	4	L	5-	10		-0.175
3/29	at Pinnacle (2-10)	AZ 2 North	71.5	9	W	12-	10		0.200
4/05	at Notre Dame Prep (13-1)	AZ 2 North	87.1	1	L	5-	19		0.000
4/08	TUCSON TANQUE VERDE (13-2)	AZ 2 South	86.7	2	L	5-	11		-0.050
4/09	at Salpointe Catholic (9-5)	AZ 2 South	79.6	4	L	3-	11		-0.150
4/12	at Hamilton (11-3)	AZ 2 East	82.1	3	L	10-	18		-0.125
			78.9						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/09	H	Pinnacle	17-	9	8	3	++	-0.32	5.33
3/05	A	Tucson Tanque Verde	9-	20	-11	-9		0.32	-1.96
3/13	H	Oro Valley	17-	2	15	11	++	-0.32	4.29
3/15	A	Horizon	12-	14	-2	-3		0.32	0.53
3/22	A	Oro Valley	14-	1	13	10	+	0.32	2.93
3/26	H	Salpointe Catholic	5-	10	-5	-3	–	-0.32	-2.11
3/29	A	Pinnacle	12-	10	2	2		0.32	-0.03
4/05	A	Notre Dame Prep	5-	19	-14	-10	–	0.32	-3.91
4/08	H	Tucson Tanque Verde	5-	11	-6	-8	+	-0.32	2.40
4/09	A	Salpointe Catholic	3-	11	-8	-4	––	0.32	-4.47
4/12	A	Hamilton	10-	18	-8	-5	–	0.32	-2.99
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/05	A	Tucson Tanque Verde	9-	20	1.00
3/13	H	Oro Valley	17-	2	-4.29
3/22	A	Oro Valley	14-	1	-2.93
4/05	A	Notre Dame Prep	5-	19	4.00
10-goal correction: -0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	2370
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.32		Natl Power Rank	2370
Natl SOS Rating	65.68		Natl SOS Rank	1913
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1267
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1702
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.3


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