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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Chapel Hill Tigers (20-2)

Region: NC 4AState: NCCoach: Glen Estacio

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/01WILMINGTON NEW HANOVER (1-12)NC 4A71.7W22- 1 0.000  
3/10NORTHERN DURHAM (1-13)NC 4A73.2W26- 3 0.000  
3/14CHARLOTTE COU DAY (21-7)NC Prvate95.2W16-11 0.200  
3/17GILMAN (18-1)MD A MIAA99.9L8-13 -0.175  
3/18DURHAM JORDAN (10-9)NC 4A86.9W17-10 0.050  
3/20at Greensboro Page (13-3)NC 4A89.75W12-11 0.200  
3/28at St Anne's-Belfield (15-5)VA 1 VIP97.0W9- 8 0.350  
4/04at East Chapel Hill (18-5)NC 4A90.74W17- 6 0.175  
4/08at Carrboro (3-13)NC 3A/2A68.2W14- 1 0.000  
4/12at Norfolk Academy (21-2)VA 1 Tidewtr98.2L7-12 -0.125  
4/15at Durham Riverside (5-16)NC 4A81.1W11- 3 0.050  
4/18at Northern Durham (1-13)NC 4A73.2W8- 4 0.000  
4/19CHARLOTTE PROVIDENCE (13-6)NC 4A88.76W15- 2 0.075  
4/22at Durham Jordan (10-9)NC 4A86.9W16- 4 0.125  
4/24DURHAM ACADEMY (12-5)NC Prvate90.9W15- 1 0.100  
4/25EAST CHAPEL HILL (18-5)NC 4A90.74W12- 9 0.125  
4/30APEX (20-4)NC 4A91.63W11- 9 0.150  
5/01DURHAM RIVERSIDE (5-16)NC 4A81.1W13- 8 0.000  
5/06NORTHWEST GUILFORD (6-9)NC 4A80.9W22- 5 0.000  
5/09DURHAM JORDAN (10-9)NC 4A86.9W21-11 0.050  
5/14EAST CHAPEL HILL (18-5)NC 4A90.74W13- 9 0.125  
5/17vs. Apex # (20-4)NC 4A91.63W12- 8 1.175  
# Neutral site 88.3     2.65  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/01HWilmington New Hanover22-121   20       -1.35       1.31
3/10HNorthern Durham26-323   19       ++-1.35       4.07
3/14HCharlotte Cou Day16-115   2       +-1.45       3.50
3/17HGilman8-13-5   -3       -1.40       -1.75
3/18HDurham Jordan17-107   8       -1.35       -0.58
3/20AGreensboro Page12-111   2       1.35       -1.23
3/28ASt Anne's-Belfield9-81   -4       ++2.04       4.83
4/04AEast Chapel Hill17-611   3       +++1.35       8.48
4/08ACarrboro14-113   20       –––1.35       -7.25
4/12ANorfolk Academy7-12-5   -5       2.04       -0.06
4/15ADurham Riverside11-38   8       1.35       -0.45
4/18ANorthern Durham8-44   16       –––1.35       12.24
4/19HCharlotte Providence15-213   7       ++-1.35       5.52
4/22ADurham Jordan16-412   5       +++1.35       7.11
4/24HDurham Academy15-114   6       +++-1.45       8.24
4/25HEast Chapel Hill12-93   5       –-1.35       -2.21
4/30HApex11-92   4       –-1.35       -2.24
5/01HDurham Riverside13-85   11       –––-1.35       -6.14
5/06HNorthWest Guilford22-517   13       +-1.35       3.52
5/09HDurham Jordan21-1110   8       +-1.35       2.42
5/14HEast Chapel Hill13-94   5       -1.35       -1.21
5/17NApex12-84   3       0.00       1.10
         0.0014.76

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/01HWilmington New Hanover22-1-1.31
3/10HNorthern Durham26-3-4.07
4/04AEast Chapel Hill17-6-1.00
4/08ACarrboro14-17.25
4/19HCharlotte Providence15-2-3.00
4/22ADurham Jordan16-4-2.00
4/24HDurham Academy15-1-4.00
5/06HNorthWest Guilford22-5-3.52
5/09HDurham Jordan21-110.00
10-goal correction: -0.53

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 235
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 95.25   Natl Power Rank 235
Natl SOS Rating 83.63   Natl SOS Rank 315
Natl Quality Win Rating 2.65   Natl Quality Win Rank 13
W-L Pct Rating 0.91   W-L Pct Rank 63
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 20-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 6-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 4.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 7-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 5.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 6.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 6.0

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