High School Computer Ratings

Chapel Hill Tigers (20-2)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Glen Estacio

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/01	WILMINGTON NEW HANOVER (1-12)	NC 4A	71.7		W	22-	1	0.000
3/10	NORTHERN DURHAM (1-13)	NC 4A	73.2		W	26-	3	0.000
3/14	CHARLOTTE COU DAY (21-7)	NC Prvate	95.2		W	16-	11	0.200
3/17	GILMAN (18-1)	MD A MIAA	99.9		L	8-	13	-0.175
3/18	DURHAM JORDAN (10-9)	NC 4A	86.9		W	17-	10	0.050
3/20	at Greensboro Page (13-3)	NC 4A	89.7	5	W	12-	11	0.200
3/28	at St Anne's-Belfield (15-5)	VA 1 VIP	97.0		W	9-	8	0.350
4/04	at East Chapel Hill (18-5)	NC 4A	90.7	4	W	17-	6	0.175
4/08	at Carrboro (3-13)	NC 3A/2A	68.2		W	14-	1	0.000
4/12	at Norfolk Academy (21-2)	VA 1 Tidewtr	98.2		L	7-	12	-0.125
4/15	at Durham Riverside (5-16)	NC 4A	81.1		W	11-	3	0.050
4/18	at Northern Durham (1-13)	NC 4A	73.2		W	8-	4	0.000
4/19	CHARLOTTE PROVIDENCE (13-6)	NC 4A	88.7	6	W	15-	2	0.075
4/22	at Durham Jordan (10-9)	NC 4A	86.9		W	16-	4	0.125
4/24	DURHAM ACADEMY (12-5)	NC Prvate	90.9		W	15-	1	0.100
4/25	EAST CHAPEL HILL (18-5)	NC 4A	90.7	4	W	12-	9	0.125
4/30	APEX (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	W	11-	9	0.150
5/01	DURHAM RIVERSIDE (5-16)	NC 4A	81.1		W	13-	8	0.000
5/06	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (6-9)	NC 4A	80.9		W	22-	5	0.000
5/09	DURHAM JORDAN (10-9)	NC 4A	86.9		W	21-	11	0.050
5/14	EAST CHAPEL HILL (18-5)	NC 4A	90.7	4	W	13-	9	0.125
5/17	vs. Apex # (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	W	12-	8	1.175
# Neutral site			88.3					2.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/01	H	Wilmington New Hanover	22-	1	21	20		-1.35	1.31
3/10	H	Northern Durham	26-	3	23	19	++	-1.35	4.07
3/14	H	Charlotte Cou Day	16-	11	5	2	+	-1.45		3.50
3/17	H	Gilman	8-	13	-5	-3		-1.40		-1.75
3/18	H	Durham Jordan	17-	10	7	8		-1.35	-0.58
3/20	A	Greensboro Page	12-	11	1	2		1.35	-1.23
3/28	A	St Anne's-Belfield	9-	8	1	-4	++	2.04		4.83
4/04	A	East Chapel Hill	17-	6	11	3	+++	1.35	8.48
4/08	A	Carrboro	14-	1	13	20	–––	1.35	-7.25
4/12	A	Norfolk Academy	7-	12	-5	-5		2.04		-0.06
4/15	A	Durham Riverside	11-	3	8	8		1.35	-0.45
4/18	A	Northern Durham	8-	4	4	16	–––	1.35	-12.24
4/19	H	Charlotte Providence	15-	2	13	7	++	-1.35	5.52
4/22	A	Durham Jordan	16-	4	12	5	+++	1.35	7.11
4/24	H	Durham Academy	15-	1	14	6	+++	-1.45		8.24
4/25	H	East Chapel Hill	12-	9	3	5	–	-1.35	-2.21
4/30	H	Apex	11-	9	2	4	–	-1.35	-2.24
5/01	H	Durham Riverside	13-	8	5	11	–––	-1.35	-6.14
5/06	H	NorthWest Guilford	22-	5	17	13	+	-1.35	3.52
5/09	H	Durham Jordan	21-	11	10	8	+	-1.35	2.42
5/14	H	East Chapel Hill	13-	9	4	5		-1.35	-1.21
5/17	N	Apex	12-	8	4	3		0.00	1.10
									0.00	14.76