High School Computer Ratings

Chelmsford Lions (12-9)

Conference: Merrimack

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: Tom Gallagher

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/04	ANDOVER HS (14-6)	MA 1	94.8	8	L	3-	6		-0.150
4/07	BOSTON COLLEGE HS (10-7)	MA 1	94.5		L	2-	3		-0.225
4/09	at Tewksbury Memorial (10-9)	MA 2	91.7		W	8-	7		0.200
4/12	BILLERICA (17-5)	MA 1	96.4	4	L	3-	15		-0.100
4/15	HAVERHILL (7-10)	MA 1	89.7		W	12-	5		0.075
4/19	CENTRAL CATHOLIC (13-8)	MA 2	92.8		W	9-	5		0.175
4/24	ACTON BOXBOROUGH (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		W	6-	5		0.250
4/26	at Salem (2-15)	MA 1	80.7		W	16-	4		0.000
5/02	at Andover HS (14-6)	MA 1	94.8	8	L	4-	11		-0.100
5/03	MALDEN CATHOLIC (10-9)	MA 1	93.1		W	7-	6		0.225
5/05	WAKEFIELD (3-15)	MA 2	87.0		W	17-	1		0.050
5/07	at Lowell (14-7)	MA 1	93.2		L	6-	7	ot	-0.225
5/10	at Billerica (17-5)	MA 1	96.4	4	L	3-	13		-0.025
5/12	vs. Dracut # (2-16)	MA 2	84.5		W	17-	4		0.025
5/14	at Catholic Memorial (6-10)	MA 2	92.9		W	7-	6		0.275
5/16	at Nashua South (4-14)	NH 1	78.6		W	13-	1		0.000
5/17	at St Johns Prep Danvers (18-3)	MA 1	96.5	2	L	6-	16		-0.050
5/19	XAVERIAN BROS (16-6)	MA 1	96.3	5	L	3-	10		-0.100
5/21	at Waltham (13-8)	MA 1	93.8		W	13-	11		0.325
5/28	MALDEN CATHOLIC (10-9)	MA 1	93.1		W	9-	8		0.225
6/01	at St Johns Prep Danvers (18-3)	MA 1	96.5	2	L	1-	18		-0.050
# Neutral site			88.1						0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	Andover HS	3-	6	-3	-4		-1.09	0.55
4/07	H	Boston College HS	2-	3	-1	-1		-1.09	0.28
4/09	A	Tewksbury Memorial	8-	7	1	2		1.09	-1.38
4/12	H	Billerica	3-	15	-12	-6	––	-1.09	-5.53
4/15	H	Haverhill	12-	5	7	7		-1.09	0.13
4/19	H	Central Catholic	9-	5	4	3		-1.09	0.87
4/24	H	Acton Boxborough	6-	5	1	0		-1.09	0.62
4/26	A	Salem	16-	4	12	12		1.09	-0.13
5/02	A	Andover HS	4-	11	-7	-6		1.09	-1.27
5/03	H	Malden Catholic	7-	6	1	1		-1.09	-0.11
5/05	H	Wakefield	17-	1	16	8	+++	-1.09	7.77
5/07	A	Lowell	6-	7	-1	-1		1.09	-0.50
5/10	A	Billerica	3-	13	-10	-9		1.09	-1.34
5/12	N	Dracut	17-	4	13	9	+	0.00	3.82
5/14	A	Catholic Memorial	7-	6	1	-1	+	1.09	2.27
5/16	A	Nashua South	13-	1	12	14		0.98		-1.95
5/17	A	St Johns Prep Danvers	6-	16	-10	-8		1.09	-1.50
5/19	H	Xaverian Bros	3-	10	-7	-6		-1.09	-1.22
5/21	A	Waltham	13-	11	2	-3	++	1.09	5.30
5/28	H	Malden Catholic	9-	8	1	1		-1.09	-0.11
6/01	A	St Johns Prep Danvers	1-	18	-17	-8	–––	1.09	-8.50
									0.00	-1.95